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在新冠疫情下,预期寿命、死亡率和公共卫生支出对维持经济增长至关重要吗?来自尼日利亚的实证证据

Does life expectancy, death rate and public health expenditure matter in sustaining economic growth under COVID-19: Empirical evidence from Nigeria?

作者信息

Alhassan Gloria Nnadwa, Adedoyin Festus Fatai, Bekun Festus Victor, Agabo Terhemen Justine

机构信息

Faculty of Pharmacy Cyprus International University Turkey.

Department of Accounting, Economics and Finance Bournemouth University Poole UK.

出版信息

J Public Aff. 2021 Nov;21(4):e2302. doi: 10.1002/pa.2302. Epub 2020 Aug 24.

Abstract

The current health pandemic that has plagued the global of which the global south-Nigeria is not insulated from is the premise for this empirical investigation. The present study relies on recent annual time-series data to conceptualize the hypothesized claim via Pesaran's Autoregressive distributed lag techniques. Empirical findings from the bounds test traces the long-run relationship between public health expenditure and economic growth over the study span. However, unlike previous studies, we introduce life expectancy and death rates in the model framework. Although health expenditure is not significant, empirical results show that a 1% increase in life expectancy and death rate increases and decreases economic growth by 3.85 and 1.84%, respectively. This suggests the need for Health Policymakers in Nigeria to implement active strategies that reduce the death rate, which is a blueprint for active engagement in the face of a global pandemic such as COVID-19.

摘要

当前困扰全球的健康大流行,包括尼日利亚在内的全球南方国家也未能幸免,这是本次实证研究的前提。本研究依靠近期的年度时间序列数据,通过佩萨兰自回归分布滞后技术对假设的主张进行概念化。边界检验的实证结果追踪了研究期间公共卫生支出与经济增长之间的长期关系。然而,与以往研究不同的是,我们在模型框架中引入了预期寿命和死亡率。尽管卫生支出不显著,但实证结果表明,预期寿命每增加1%,经济增长就会增加3.85%,死亡率每增加1%,经济增长就会减少1.84%。这表明尼日利亚的卫生政策制定者需要实施积极策略来降低死亡率,这是应对COVID-19等全球大流行时积极参与的蓝图。

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