OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study was to investigate the occurrence and develop a risk score for heart failure (HF) in acute leukemia.

BACKGROUND

Knowledge is scarce regarding the incidence and risk factors of symptomatic HF in patients with acute leukemia.

METHODS

Baseline clinical and echocardiographic parameters, including indices of cardiac function (left ventricular ejection fraction and myocardial strain [global longitudinal strain; GLS]), were obtained in 450 patients with acute leukemia treated with anthracyclines, before chemotherapy initiation. Potential risk factors for HF were evaluated using Fine and Gray's regression analysis, and from this, a 21-point risk score was generated.

RESULTS

Forty patients (8.9%) developed HF. The HF risk score included a baseline GLS >-15% (indicative of greater impairment) (6 points), baseline left ventricular ejection fraction <50%, pre-existing cardiovascular disease, acute myeloid leukemia (4 points each), cumulative anthracycline dose ≥250 mg/m (2 points), and age >60 years (1 point). Patients were stratified into low (score 0 to 6), moderate (score 7 to 13), and high risk (score 14 to 21). The estimated 1-year cumulative incidence of HF for low-, moderate-, and high-risk groups was 1.0%, 13.6%, and 35.0%, respectively (p < 0.001). The HF risk score was also predictive of all-cause mortality (p < 0.001). After adjustment for age and leukemia type, however, only GLS was significantly associated with all-cause mortality (hazard ratio: 1.73; 95% confidence interval: 1.30 to 2.31; p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

We developed a baseline risk score to determine risk of HF in patients with acute leukemia. Additional studies are needed to determine the external validity of these findings.