Greim Peter, Solomon A A, Breyer Christian
Institute for Material Resource Management, University of Augsburg, Universitätsstr. 1a, 86159, Augsburg, Germany.
School of Energy Systems, LUT University, Yliopistonkatu 34, 53850, Lappeenranta, Finland.
Nat Commun. 2020 Sep 11;11(1):4570. doi: 10.1038/s41467-020-18402-y.
The forthcoming global energy transition requires a shift to new and renewable technologies, which increase the demand for related materials. This study investigates the long-term availability of lithium (Li) in the event of significant demand growth of rechargeable lithium-ion batteries for supplying the power and transport sectors with very-high shares of renewable energy. A comprehensive assessment that uses 18 scenarios, created by combining 8 demand related variations with 4 supply conditions, were performed. Here this study shows that Li is critical to achieve a sustainable energy transition. The achievement of a balanced Li supply and demand throughout this century depends on the presence of well-established recycling systems, achievement of vehicle-to-grid integration, and realisation of transportation services with lower Li intensity. As a result, it is very important to achieve a concerted global effort to enforce a mix of policy goals identified in this study.
即将到来的全球能源转型需要转向新的可再生技术,这增加了对相关材料的需求。本研究调查了在可充电锂离子电池需求大幅增长的情况下锂(Li)的长期可用性,以向电力和交通部门提供非常高比例的可再生能源。进行了一项综合评估,该评估使用了18种情景,这些情景是通过将8种与需求相关的变化与4种供应条件相结合而创建的。本研究表明,锂对于实现可持续能源转型至关重要。在本世纪实现锂的供需平衡取决于完善的回收系统的存在、车辆到电网整合的实现以及锂强度较低的运输服务的实现。因此,全球共同努力实施本研究中确定的一系列政策目标非常重要。