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用于债券强度数据分析的竞争风险模型。

A competing risk model for bond strength data analysis.

机构信息

Institute of Dental Medicine, First Faculty of Medicine of the Charles University and General University Hospital in Prague, Karlovo Namesti 32, Prague, 121 11, Czech Republic; Department of Cariology and Operative Dentistry, Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences, Tokyo Medical and Dental University, 1-5-45 Yushima, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo 113-8510, Japan.

Department of Statistical Modelling, Institute of Computer Science of the Czech Academy of Sciences, Pod Vodarenskou Vezi 271/2, Prague, 182 00, Czech Republic.

出版信息

Dent Mater. 2020 Dec;36(12):1508-1515. doi: 10.1016/j.dental.2020.09.004. Epub 2020 Sep 15.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

A competing risk (CR) model distinguishing adhesive, cohesive and mixed failures as competing events was used for the analysis of micro-tensile bond strength (μTBS) data and compared with a conventional failure mode non-distinguishing survival model.

METHODS

Fifty human molars were bonded using five universal adhesives (n = 10) and subdivided according to aging conditions (24-h water storage, thermocycling). After μTBS to dentin was tested, a fractographic analysis was performed using scanning electron microscopy. Survival analyses of the μTBS data were performed using both a failure mode distinguishing Weibull CR model, and a conventional failure mode non-distinguishing Weibull model. Weibull shape (m) and scale (σ) parameters were calculated for both models using the maximum likelihood estimation method, and strength at 10 % probability of failure, σ, was estimated. Groups were compared using 95 % confidence intervals.

RESULTS

CR-model estimates of σ and σ for adhesive failures were higher than those of the conventional model, more markedly in groups with lower percentages of adhesive failures. CR-model strength estimates for cohesive failures were similar in all groups regardless of their bond strengths and failure mode distributions.

SIGNIFICANCE

Merging all bond-strength data into one dataset irrespective of the failure mode may result in a severe underestimation of bond strength, especially in groups with low incidence of adhesive failures. Bond-strength data analysis using a CR model could provide more accurate estimates of bond strength, and strength estimates for cohesive failures which were apparently independent of bond strength could serve as an internal validity indicator of the CR model.

摘要

目的

使用一种区分黏附性、内聚性和混合性失效的竞争风险(CR)模型对微拉伸粘结强度(μTBS)数据进行分析,并与传统的不区分失效模式的生存模型进行比较。

方法

使用五种通用粘结剂(n = 10)对 50 个人类磨牙进行粘结,并根据老化条件(24 小时水储存、热循环)进行细分。在对牙本质进行 μTBS 测试后,使用扫描电子显微镜进行断裂分析。使用区分失效模式的威布尔 CR 模型和传统的不区分失效模式的威布尔模型对 μTBS 数据进行生存分析。使用最大似然估计法计算两种模型的威布尔形状(m)和尺度(σ)参数,并估计失效概率为 10%时的强度,σ。使用 95%置信区间对各组进行比较。

结果

CR 模型对黏附性失效的 σ 和 σ 的估计值高于传统模型,在黏附性失效比例较低的组中更为明显。无论粘结强度和失效模式分布如何,CR 模型对内聚性失效的强度估计在所有组中都相似。

意义

将所有粘结强度数据合并到一个数据集,而不考虑失效模式,可能会严重低估粘结强度,尤其是在黏附性失效比例较低的组中。使用 CR 模型对粘结强度数据进行分析可以提供更准确的粘结强度估计值,并且对粘结强度不依赖的内聚性失效的强度估计值可以作为 CR 模型的内部有效性指标。

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