Liu Si Yu, Shen Ming Wang, Bi Ying Jie
School of Public Health, Jilin University, Changchun, Jilin, 130021, China.
China-Australia Joint Research Center for Infectious Diseases, School of Public Health, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an, Shaanxi, 710061, China.
Math Biosci Eng. 2020 May 13;17(4):3601-3617. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2020203.
Vaccination strategy is considered as the most cost-effective intervention measure for controlling diseases. It will strengthen the immunity and reduce the risks of infections. In this paper, a new delayed epidemic model with interim-immune and mixed vaccination strategy is studied. The diseasefree periodic solution is obtained by twice stroboscopic mapping and the corresponding dynamical behavior is analyzed. We determine a threshold parameter , the disease-free periodic solution is proved to be global attractive if < 1. We also establish a threshold parameter for the permanence of the model, i.e., if > 1, the infectious disease will exist persistently. Then, we provide numerical simulations to illustrate our theoretical results intuitively. In particular, a practical application for newtype TB vaccine under mixed vaccination strategy is presented, based on the proposed theory and the data reported by NBSC. The mixed vaccination strategy can achieve the End TB goal formulated by WHO in limited time. Our study will help public health agency to design mixed control strategy which can reduce the burden of infectious diseases.
疫苗接种策略被认为是控制疾病最具成本效益的干预措施。它将增强免疫力并降低感染风险。本文研究了一种具有临时免疫和混合疫苗接种策略的新型延迟流行病模型。通过两次频闪映射获得无病周期解并分析其相应的动力学行为。我们确定了一个阈值参数,当<1时,证明无病周期解是全局吸引的。我们还为模型的持久性建立了一个阈值参数,即如果>1,传染病将持续存在。然后,我们提供数值模拟以直观地说明我们的理论结果。特别是,基于所提出的理论和国家统计局报告的数据,提出了混合疫苗接种策略下新型结核病疫苗的实际应用。混合疫苗接种策略可以在有限时间内实现世界卫生组织制定的终结结核病目标。我们的研究将有助于公共卫生机构设计可减轻传染病负担的混合控制策略。