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初始选拔年龄、相对年龄效应和国家长期表现对欧洲篮球青年国家队重新选拔过程的影响。

The influence of initial selection age, relative age effect and country long-term performance on the re-selection process in European basketball youth national teams.

机构信息

Faculty of Education and Sport Sciences, University of Vigo , Pontevedra, Spain.

Performance and Training Unit, The Swedish School of Sport and Health Science , Stockholm, Sweden.

出版信息

J Sports Sci. 2021 Feb;39(4):388-394. doi: 10.1080/02640414.2020.1823109. Epub 2020 Sep 30.

Abstract

The aims of the study were to: (a) analyse the re-selection patterns in European youth basketball national teams, and (b) investigate how the chance of re-selection is influenced by the initial selection age and relative age of the players, as well as the long-term performance of the country at the youth level. The sample consisted of 8362 basketball players (5038 men, 3324 women) born 1988-1997 who have participated in at least one U16, U18 or U20 European youth basketball championship between 2004 and 2017. The results from the survival analysis showed that around 75% of male and 80% of female players participating in a championship were re-selected the following year. Also, initial selection age, relative age effect, and the country long-term performance influenced the re-selection rates, with relationships being different between men and women. To conclude, the results of the present study show that the re-selection process by which players progress in European youth national basketball teams is complex and influenced by several different factors.

摘要

本研究的目的是

(a) 分析欧洲青年篮球国家队的重新选拔模式;(b) 研究重新选拔的机会如何受到球员最初选拔年龄和相对年龄以及国家在青年水平上的长期表现的影响。该样本包括 1988 年至 1997 年间出生的 8362 名篮球运动员(5038 名男性,3324 名女性),他们在 2004 年至 2017 年间参加了至少一次 U16、U18 或 U20 欧洲青年篮球锦标赛。生存分析的结果表明,参加锦标赛的约 75%的男性和 80%的女性球员在次年被重新选拔。此外,初始选拔年龄、相对年龄效应和国家的长期表现影响了重新选拔的比例,而且男女之间的关系也不同。总之,本研究的结果表明,球员在欧洲青年国家篮球队中晋级的重新选拔过程是复杂的,受到多种不同因素的影响。

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