Institute of Geography, Romanian Academy, 12 Dimitrie Racoviță Street, sector 2, 023993, Bucharest, Romania.
Environ Res. 2021 Jan;192:110268. doi: 10.1016/j.envres.2020.110268. Epub 2020 Sep 28.
In the recent years, the effects of extreme climate phenomena (mainly heat-related) on agricultural crops, infrastructure and human health have become increasingly severe as a result of their complex interactions with the particularities of the urban/rural habitat, as well as the social and economic factors. In Romania, heat-related phenomena (e.g. drought, heat waves) are affecting wide areas in the southern half of the territory where the study area (Bucharest Metropolitan Area) lies. The paper aims to develop a multi-criteria vulnerability assessment using both quantitative and qualitative methods. 23 indicators were selected and processed in order to assess various components of socio-economic and environmental vulnerability to heat-related phenomena using the statistical data available at local administrative units (LAU). The indicators were grouped into the three key components of vulnerability (potential exposure, sensitivity and adaptive capacity) on two dimensions (socio-economic and environmental) resulting two indexes: Socio-Economic Vulnerability Index (SEVI) and Environmental Vulnerability Index (EVI). Finally, an integrated Heat Vulnerability Index (HVI) (using Hull score, average 50 and standard deviation 14) was computed.
近年来，由于极端气候现象（主要与热有关）与城乡栖息地的特殊性以及社会经济因素之间的复杂相互作用，对农业作物、基础设施和人类健康的影响变得越来越严重。在罗马尼亚，与热有关的现象（例如干旱、热浪）正在影响领土南部的大片地区，研究区域（布加勒斯特大都市区）就在那里。本文旨在使用定量和定性方法开发一种多标准脆弱性评估。选择了 23 个指标，并利用地方行政单位（LAU）现有的统计数据，对与热有关的现象的社会经济和环境脆弱性的各个组成部分进行评估。这些指标被分为脆弱性的三个关键组成部分（潜在暴露、敏感性和适应能力），分为两个维度（社会经济和环境），形成了两个指数：社会经济脆弱性指数（SEVI）和环境脆弱性指数（EVI）。最后，计算了一个综合的热脆弱性指数（HVI）（使用 Hull 分数、平均值 50 和标准差 14）。
