Department of Clinical Pathology and Department of Biomedical and Clinical Sciences, Linköping University, 58183, Linköping, Sweden.
Division of Drug Research, Department of Medical Health Sciences, Linköping University, 58183, Linköping, Sweden.
BMC Cancer. 2020 Oct 2;20(1):950. doi: 10.1186/s12885-020-07426-8.
In recent years treatment options for advanced pancreatic cancer have markedly improved, and a combination regimen of gemcitabine and nab-paclitaxel is now considered standard of care in Sweden and elsewhere. Nevertheless, a majority of patients do not respond to treatment. In order to guide the individual patient to the most beneficial therapeutic strategy, simple and easily available prognostic and predictive markers are needed.
The potential prognostic value of a range of blood/serum parameters, patient-, and tumour characteristics was explored in a retrospective cohort of 75 patients treated with gemcitabine/nab-paclitaxel (Gem/NabP) for advanced pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) in the South Eastern Region of Sweden. Primary outcome was overall survival (OS) while progression free survival (PFS) was the key secondary outcome.
Univariable Cox regression analysis revealed that high baseline serum albumin (> 37 g/L) and older age (> 65) were positive prognostic markers for OS, and in multivariable regression analysis both parameters were confirmed to be independent prognostic variables (HR 0.48, p = 0.023 and HR = 0.47, p = 0.039,). Thrombocytopenia at any time during the treatment was an independent predictor for improved progression free survival (PFS) but not for OS (HR 0.49, p = 0.029, 0.54, p = 0.073), whereas thrombocytopenia developed under cycle 1 was neither related with OS nor PFS (HR 0.87, p = 0.384, HR 1.04, p = 0.771). Other parameters assessed (gender, tumour stage, ECOG performance status, myelosuppression, baseline serum CA19-9, and baseline serum bilirubin levels) were not significantly associated with survival.
Serum albumin at baseline is a prognostic factor with palliative Gem/NabP in advanced PDAC, and should be further assessed as a tool for risk stratification. Older age was associated with improved survival, which encourages further studies on the use of Gem/NabP in the elderly.
近年来,晚期胰腺癌的治疗选择有了显著改善,吉西他滨联合 nab-紫杉醇的联合方案现在被认为是瑞典和其他国家的标准治疗方法。然而,大多数患者对治疗没有反应。为了指导个体患者选择最有益的治疗策略,需要简单易用的预后和预测标志物。
在瑞典东南部接受吉西他滨/ nab-紫杉醇(Gem/NabP)治疗的 75 例晚期胰腺导管腺癌(PDAC)患者的回顾性队列中,研究了一系列血液/血清参数、患者和肿瘤特征的潜在预后价值。主要结局为总生存期(OS),无进展生存期(PFS)为关键次要结局。
单变量 Cox 回归分析显示,基线时高血清白蛋白(>37 g/L)和年龄较大(>65 岁)是 OS 的阳性预后标志物,多变量回归分析证实这两个参数是独立的预后变量(HR 0.48,p=0.023 和 HR 0.47,p=0.039)。治疗过程中任何时间的血小板减少均是无进展生存期(PFS)改善的独立预测因素,但对 OS 无影响(HR 0.49,p=0.029,0.54,p=0.073),而第 1 周期发生的血小板减少与 OS 或 PFS 均无关(HR 0.87,p=0.384,HR 1.04,p=0.771)。评估的其他参数(性别、肿瘤分期、ECOG 表现状态、骨髓抑制、基线血清 CA19-9 和基线血清胆红素水平)与生存无显著相关性。
基线时的血清白蛋白是晚期 PDAC 姑息性 Gem/NabP 的预后因素,应进一步评估作为风险分层的工具。年龄较大与生存改善相关,这鼓励进一步研究在老年患者中使用 Gem/NabP。