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非洲 COVID-19 住院患者的临床特征和结局:来自刚果民主共和国的早期观察。

Clinical Characteristics and Outcomes of Patients Hospitalized for COVID-19 in Africa: Early Insights from the Democratic Republic of the Congo.

机构信息

1Department of Medicine, Centre for Infectious Diseases, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, South Africa.

2Department of Epidemiology and International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland.

出版信息

Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2020 Dec;103(6):2419-2428. doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.20-1240. Epub 2020 Oct 2.

Abstract

Little is known about the clinical features and outcomes of SARS-CoV-2 infection in Africa. We conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients hospitalized for COVID-19 between March 10, 2020 and July 31, 2020 at seven hospitals in Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC). Outcomes included clinical improvement within 30 days (primary) and in-hospital mortality (secondary). Of 766 confirmed COVID-19 cases, 500 (65.6%) were male, with a median (interquartile range [IQR]) age of 46 (34-58) years. One hundred ninety-one (25%) patients had severe/critical disease requiring admission in the intensive care unit (ICU). Six hundred twenty patients (80.9%) improved and were discharged within 30 days of admission. Overall in-hospital mortality was 13.2% (95% CI: 10.9-15.8), and almost 50% among those in the ICU. Independent risk factors for death were age < 20 years (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 6.62, 95% CI: 1.85-23.64), 40-59 years (aHR = 4.45, 95% CI: 1.83-10.79), and ≥ 60 years (aHR = 13.63, 95% CI: 5.70-32.60) compared with those aged 20-39 years, with obesity (aHR = 2.30, 95% CI: 1.24-4.27), and with chronic kidney disease (aHR = 5.33, 95% CI: 1.85-15.35). In marginal structural model analysis, there was no statistically significant difference in odds of clinical improvement (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 1.53, 95% CI: 0.88-2.67, = 0.132) nor risk of death (aOR = 0.65, 95% CI: 0.35-1.20) when comparing the use of chloroquine/azithromycin versus other treatments. In this DRC study, the high mortality among patients aged < 20 years and with severe/critical disease is of great concern, and requires further research for confirmation and targeted interventions.

摘要

关于非洲 2019 冠状病毒病(COVID-19)患者的临床特征和结局,我们知之甚少。我们对刚果民主共和国(DRC)金沙萨的 7 家医院于 2020 年 3 月 10 日至 7 月 31 日期间收治的 COVID-19 住院患者进行了回顾性队列研究。结局包括 30 天内临床改善(主要结局)和院内死亡率(次要结局)。在 766 例确诊的 COVID-19 病例中,500 例(65.6%)为男性,中位(四分位距 [IQR])年龄为 46(34-58)岁。191 例(25%)患者患有需要入住重症监护病房(ICU)的严重/危重症疾病。620 例(80.9%)患者在入院后 30 天内改善并出院。总体院内死亡率为 13.2%(95%CI:10.9-15.8),ICU 患者中近 50%死亡。死亡的独立危险因素是年龄<20 岁(校正危害比[aHR] = 6.62,95%CI:1.85-23.64)、40-59 岁(aHR = 4.45,95%CI:1.83-10.79)和≥60 岁(aHR = 13.63,95%CI:5.70-32.60),与 20-39 岁年龄组相比,肥胖(aHR = 2.30,95%CI:1.24-4.27)和慢性肾脏病(aHR = 5.33,95%CI:1.85-15.35)。在边际结构模型分析中,比较氯喹/阿奇霉素与其他治疗方法时,临床改善的几率(校正优势比[aOR] = 1.53,95%CI:0.88-2.67, = 0.132)或死亡风险(aOR = 0.65,95%CI:0.35-1.20)均无统计学显著差异。在这项刚果民主共和国研究中,年龄<20 岁和患有严重/危重症疾病的患者死亡率较高,令人非常担忧,需要进一步研究加以证实并采取针对性干预措施。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4637/7695108/be12e2cfc22b/tpmd201240f2.jpg

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