Souza Carlos Dornels Freire de, Paiva João Paulo Silva de, Leal Thiago Cavalcanti, Urashima Gabriel da Silva
Department of Medicine, Universidade Federal de Alagoas, Campus Arapiraca, Arapiraca, AL, Brazil.
Department of Medicine, Universidade Federal de Alagoas, Campus Arapiraca, Arapiraca, AL, Brazil.
An Bras Dermatol. 2020 Nov-Dec;95(6):743-747. doi: 10.1016/j.abd.2019.09.031. Epub 2020 Sep 18.
The objective of this study was to analyze the trend of epidemiological and operational indicators of leprosy in Brazil, from 2001 to 2017. This was a time series study involving nine indicators. The inflection point regression model was used. Decreasing trends were observed for the following: general detection (-4.8%), children under 15 (-3.7%), prevalence (-7.0%), and grade 2/million inhabitants (-3.5%). The proportion of individuals with grade 2 disability showed an upward trend (2.0%) from 2001 as well as contacts examined from 2003 (5.0%). The proportions of cure and of individuals with a degree of disability assessed at the time of the diagnosis and the cure showed a stationary behavior. Although advances are noted, there are still challenges to be overcome.
本研究的目的是分析2001年至2017年巴西麻风病的流行病学和业务指标趋势。这是一项涉及九个指标的时间序列研究。采用了拐点回归模型。观察到以下指标呈下降趋势：一般检测率（-4.8%）、15岁以下儿童（-3.7%）、患病率（-7.0%）和二级病例/百万居民数（-3.5%）。2001年起，二级残疾患者比例呈上升趋势（2.0%），2003年起接受检查的接触者比例呈上升趋势（5.0%）。治愈比例以及诊断和治愈时评估的残疾程度个体比例呈平稳态势。尽管取得了进展，但仍有挑战有待克服。
