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新冠疫情时代金融市场的心理研究:以美国和欧洲市场为例

Investigating the Psychology of Financial Markets During COVID-19 Era: A Case Study of the US and European Markets.

作者信息

Shehzad Khurram, Xiaoxing Liu, Arif Muhammad, Rehman Khaliq Ur, Ilyas Muhammad

机构信息

School of Economics and Management, Southeast University, Nanjing, China.

School of Economics and Finance, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, China.

出版信息

Front Psychol. 2020 Sep 3;11:1924. doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2020.01924. eCollection 2020.

Abstract

The novel coronavirus (COVID-19) has imperatively shaken the behavior of the global financial markets. This study estimated the impact of COVID-19 on the behavior of the financial markets of Europe and the US. The results revealed that the returns of the S&P 500 index have been greatly affected by a lockdown in the US owing to COVID-19. However, the health crisis generated due to the novel coronavirus significantly decreased the stock returns of the Nasdaq Composite index. The results also showed that the economic crisis generated from the pandemic in Spain has had more impact on the IBEX 35 as compared to the health crisis itself. On the other hand, in the long-run, Italy's stock markets are more affected by the health crisis as contrasted with the economic crisis, while, in the short-run, both lockdown conditions and economic instability lower the stock returns of FTSE MIB. The UK stock markets witnessed that in the short-run, deficiency of health management systems imperatively damaged the stock returns of the London Stock Exchange. The investigation revealed that deficiency of health systems and lockdown conditions have imperatively damaged the structure of financial markets, inferring that sustainable development of these nations is at risk due to COVID-19. The study suggested that governments should allocate more of their budget to the health sector to overcome a health crisis in the future.

摘要

新型冠状病毒(COVID-19)对全球金融市场的运行产生了重大冲击。本研究评估了COVID-19对欧美金融市场运行的影响。结果显示,由于COVID-19导致美国实施封锁,标准普尔500指数的回报受到了极大影响。然而,新型冠状病毒引发的健康危机显著降低了纳斯达克综合指数的股票回报。结果还表明,西班牙疫情引发的经济危机对IBEX 35的影响比对健康危机本身的影响更大。另一方面,从长期来看,与经济危机相比,意大利股市受健康危机的影响更大,而在短期内,封锁措施和经济不稳定都降低了富时MIB指数的股票回报。英国股市在短期内见证了健康管理系统的不足对伦敦证券交易所的股票回报造成了重大损害。调查显示,健康系统的不足和封锁措施对金融市场结构造成了重大损害,这意味着这些国家的可持续发展因COVID-19而面临风险。该研究建议,政府应将更多预算分配给卫生部门,以应对未来的健康危机。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/257c/7494908/b1c005e8b012/fpsyg-11-01924-g001.jpg

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