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卤代烃及其他弱大气吸收剂的更新全球变暖潜能值和辐射效率

Updated Global Warming Potentials and Radiative Efficiencies of Halocarbons and Other Weak Atmospheric Absorbers.

作者信息

Hodnebrog Ø, Aamaas B, Fuglestvedt J S, Marston G, Myhre G, Nielsen C J, Sandstad M, Shine K P, Wallington T J

机构信息

Center for International Climate Research (CICERO) Oslo Norway.

Vice-Chancellor's Office Northumbria University Newcastle UK.

出版信息

Rev Geophys. 2020 Sep;58(3):e2019RG000691. doi: 10.1029/2019RG000691. Epub 2020 Sep 7.

Abstract

Human activity has led to increased atmospheric concentrations of many gases, including halocarbons, and may lead to emissions of many more gases. Many of these gases are, on a per molecule basis, powerful greenhouse gases, although at present-day concentrations their climate effect is in the so-called weak limit (i.e., their effect scales linearly with concentration). We published a comprehensive review of the radiative efficiencies (RE) and global warming potentials (GWP) for around 200 such compounds in 2013 (Hodnebrog et al., 2013, https://doi.org/10.1002/rog.20013). Here we present updated RE and GWP values for compounds where experimental infrared absorption spectra are available. Updated numbers are based on a revised "Pinnock curve", which gives RE as a function of wave number, and now also accounts for stratospheric temperature adjustment (Shine & Myhre, 2020, https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001951). Further updates include the implementation of around 500 absorption spectra additional to those in the 2013 review and new atmospheric lifetimes from the literature (mainly from WMO (2019)). In total, values for 60 of the compounds previously assessed are based on additional absorption spectra, and 42 compounds have REs which differ by >10% from our previous assessment. New RE calculations are presented for more than 400 compounds in addition to the previously assessed compounds, and GWP calculations are presented for a total of around 250 compounds. Present-day radiative forcing due to halocarbons and other weak absorbers is 0.38 [0.33-0.43] W m, compared to 0.36 [0.32-0.40] W m in IPCC AR5 (Myhre et al., 2013, https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781107415324.018), which is about 18% of the current CO forcing.

摘要

人类活动导致包括卤代烃在内的多种气体在大气中的浓度增加,并且可能导致更多气体排放。从单个分子来看,这些气体中有许多都是强大的温室气体,尽管在当前浓度下它们对气候的影响处于所谓的弱极限状态(即它们的影响与浓度呈线性关系)。我们在2013年发表了一篇关于约200种此类化合物的辐射效率(RE)和全球变暖潜能值(GWP)的全面综述(霍德内布罗格等人,2013年,https://doi.org/10.1002/rog.20013)。在此,我们给出了有实验红外吸收光谱的化合物的更新后的RE和GWP值。更新后的数值基于一条修订后的“平诺克曲线”,该曲线给出了作为波数函数的RE,并且现在还考虑了平流层温度调整(夏因和米厄尔,2020年,https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001951)。进一步的更新包括在2013年综述中的吸收光谱基础上增加了约500条吸收光谱,以及来自文献(主要来自世界气象组织(2019年))的新的大气寿命数据。总体而言,之前评估的60种化合物的值是基于额外的吸收光谱,并且有42种化合物的RE与我们之前的评估相差超过10%。除了之前评估的化合物外,还给出了400多种化合物的新RE计算结果,并且总共给出了约250种化合物的GWP计算结果。与IPCC第五次评估报告(米厄尔等人,2013年,https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781107415324.018)中卤代烃和其他弱吸收体导致的当前辐射强迫为0.36 [0.32 - 0.40] W m²相比,卤代烃和其他弱吸收体导致的当前辐射强迫为0.38 [0.33 - 0.43] W m²,约占当前二氧化碳强迫的18%。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/066a/7518032/6468d7346996/ROG-58-e2019RG000691-g001.jpg

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