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埃塞俄比亚公立医院收治的新生儿脓毒症患儿的生存状况及死亡预测因素

Survival Status and Predictors of Mortality among Newborns Admitted with Neonatal Sepsis at Public Hospitals in Ethiopia.

作者信息

Dessu Samuel, Habte Aklilu, Melis Tamirat, Gebremedhin Mesfin

机构信息

Department of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Wolkite University, Wolkite, Ethiopia.

Department of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Wachamo University, Ethiopia.

出版信息

Int J Pediatr. 2020 Sep 19;2020:8327028. doi: 10.1155/2020/8327028. eCollection 2020.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

One-fourth of neonatal death is due to neonatal sepsis and nearly 98% of these deaths are occurring at low- and middle-income countries. In Ethiopia, forty percent of under-five mortality occurs during the neonatal period, of which neonatal sepsis accounts for 30-35% of neonatal deaths next to prematurity and its complications. On the other side, among the survived neonates with neonatal sepsis, there exist as vulnerable to short and long-term neurological and developmental morbidity impacting the overall productivity of the child as adult.

METHODS

A longitudinal prospective cohort study was conducted among selected 289 neonates with neonatal sepsis who were admitted in the neonatal intensive care unit at public hospitals in Ethiopia from 1 March 2018 to 31 December 2019. Data were entered into Epi data version 3.02 and exported to SPSS V 25 for analysis. The Kaplan-Meier survival curve together with log-rank test was used to estimate the survival time of the neonates. Variables which had value < 0.05 in multivariable analysis using the cox proportional hazard model were declared as statistically significant predictors of mortality.

RESULTS

The study was conducted with a total of 289 neonates admitted with neonatal sepsis. The cumulative proportion of surviving at the end of the fourth day was 99.5%, and it was 98.2% at the end of the fifth day. In addition, it was 96.6%, 93.5%, and 91.1% at the end of the sixth, seventh, and eighth day, respectively. The incidence of mortality was 8.65 per 100 neonates admitted with neonatal sepsis. Having a history of intrapartum fever (AHR: 14.5; 95% CI: 4.25, 49.5), history of chorioamnionitis (AHR: 5.7; 95% CI: 2.29, 13.98), induced labor (AHR: 7; 95% CI: 2.32, 21.08), and not initiating exclusive breastfeeding within one hour (AHR: 3.4; 95% CI: 1.34, 12.63) were the independent predictors of mortality.

CONCLUSION

The survival status of neonates among neonates admitted with neonatal sepsis was high at the early admission days and high cumulative proportion of death as the admission period increased. The risk of mortality was high among the neonates with early onset of neonatal sepsis as compared with late onset of neonatal sepsis and history of intrapartum fever, history of diagnosed chorioamnionitis, onset of labor, and EBF initiation within one hour were the independent predictors of mortality among neonates admitted with neonatal sepsis.

摘要

背景

四分之一的新生儿死亡归因于新生儿败血症,其中近98%的死亡发生在低收入和中等收入国家。在埃塞俄比亚,40%的五岁以下儿童死亡发生在新生儿期,其中新生儿败血症导致的新生儿死亡占30 - 35%,仅次于早产及其并发症。另一方面,在患有新生儿败血症的存活新生儿中,存在短期和长期神经及发育疾病的易感性,这会影响儿童成年后的整体生产力。

方法

对2018年3月1日至2019年12月31日期间在埃塞俄比亚公立医院新生儿重症监护病房收治的289例患有新生儿败血症的新生儿进行了一项纵向前瞻性队列研究。数据录入Epi data 3.02版本,并导出到SPSS V 25进行分析。采用Kaplan - Meier生存曲线和对数秩检验来估计新生儿的生存时间。在使用Cox比例风险模型进行的多变量分析中,P值<0.05的变量被宣布为死亡率的统计学显著预测因素。

结果

该研究共纳入289例患有新生儿败血症的新生儿。第4天结束时的累积存活比例为99.5%,第5天结束时为98.2%。此外,第6、7、8天结束时分别为96.6%、93.5%和91.1%。每100例患有新生儿败血症的新生儿中,死亡率为8.65。产时发热史(调整后风险比:14.5;95%置信区间:4.25,49.5)、绒毛膜羊膜炎史(调整后风险比:5.7;95%置信区间:2.29,13.98)、引产(调整后风险比:7;95%置信区间:2.32,21.08)以及在1小时内未开始纯母乳喂养(调整后风险比:3.4;95%置信区间:1.34,12.63)是死亡率的独立预测因素。

结论

患有新生儿败血症的新生儿在入院早期的存活状况良好,但随着入院时间的增加,累积死亡比例升高。与晚发型新生儿败血症相比,早发型新生儿败血症的新生儿死亡率较高,产时发热史、确诊的绒毛膜羊膜炎史、引产以及在1小时内开始纯母乳喂养是患有新生儿败血症的新生儿死亡率的独立预测因素。

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