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多病症模式、全因死亡率与英国老年人群的健康老龄化:来自英国老龄化纵向研究的结果。

Multimorbidity patterns, all-cause mortality and healthy aging in older English adults: Results from the English Longitudinal Study of Aging.

机构信息

Health Service and Population Research Department, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK.

Department of Psychological Medicine, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK.

出版信息

Geriatr Gerontol Int. 2020 Dec;20(12):1126-1132. doi: 10.1111/ggi.14051. Epub 2020 Oct 8.

Abstract

AIM

This study aimed to investigate the relationships between multimorbidity, healthy aging and mortality.

METHODS

Using data from 9171 individuals aged ≥50 years at wave 2 and mortality data at wave 5 of the English Longitudinal Study of Aging, a multiple linear regression model and a Cox proportional hazards model were used to investigate how multimorbidity patterns (identified as cardiorespiratory/arthritis/cataracts, metabolic and relatively healthy) were associated with a composite index of healthy aging (derived from 41 intrinsic capacity and functional ability items) and with mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 60% of the sample with multimorbidity had a moderate or high level of healthy aging. Both the cardiorespiratory/arthritis/cataracts group (n = 1826) and the metabolic group (n = 844) were negatively associated with healthy aging. The expected healthy aging index score decreased by 5.81 points (95% CI -6.69, -4.92) for the first group, and by 2.39 points (95% CI -3.54, -1.24) for the latter group. Only the cardiorespiratory/arthritis/cataracts group was positively associated with mortality. The risk of death for this group was 1.27-fold (95% CI: 1.14, 1.43) than the relatively healthy group. The relationship between multimorbidity patterns and mortality did not differ when considering levels of healthy aging.

CONCLUSIONS

Although it is not impossible for people with multimorbidity to age healthily, those with the most complex combination of diseases are at higher risk of death and have lower levels of healthy aging. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2020; 20: 1126-1132.

摘要

目的

本研究旨在探讨多病共存、健康老龄化和死亡率之间的关系。

方法

利用英国老龄化纵向研究第 2 波中≥50 岁的 9171 名个体的数据和第 5 波的死亡率数据,采用多元线性回归模型和 Cox 比例风险模型,探讨多病共存模式(分为心肺/关节炎/白内障、代谢和相对健康)与健康老龄化综合指数(由 41 项内在能力和功能能力项目得出)以及死亡率之间的关系。

结果

共有 60%的多病共存样本具有中高度的健康老龄化水平。心肺/关节炎/白内障组(n=1826)和代谢组(n=844)均与健康老龄化呈负相关。前者的预期健康老龄化指数得分降低了 5.81 分(95%CI-6.69,-4.92),后者降低了 2.39 分(95%CI-3.54,-1.24)。只有心肺/关节炎/白内障组与死亡率呈正相关。该组的死亡风险是相对健康组的 1.27 倍(95%CI:1.14,1.43)。当考虑健康老龄化水平时,多病共存模式与死亡率之间的关系没有差异。

结论

尽管多病共存的人并非不可能健康老龄化,但患有最复杂疾病组合的人死亡风险更高,健康老龄化水平更低。老年医学与老年病学杂志 2020;20:1126-1132。

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