Department of Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, Mount Sinai Beth Israel, First Avenue, 16th street, New York, NY, 10003, USA.
Department of Cardiology, Japanese Red Cross Ashikaga Hospital, Ashikaga, Japan.
Heart Vessels. 2021 Mar;36(3):330-336. doi: 10.1007/s00380-020-01706-w. Epub 2020 Oct 9.
Acute kidney injury (AKI) is common in patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). One risk factor for AKI is periprocedural hemoglobin drop level (> 3 g/dL); however, whether the relationship between hemoglobin drop and AKI is linear or nonlinear remains unknown. We aimed to investigate the relationship between periprocedural hemoglobin drop and AKI after PCI. We evaluated 14,273 consecutive patients undergoing PCI between September 2008 and March 2019. AKI was defined as an absolute or a relative increase in serum creatinine level of 0.3 mg/dL or 50%, respectively. Restricted cubic spline was constructed to assess the association between hemoglobin drop and AKI by logistic regression and machine learning (ML) models, which were used to predict the risk of AKI. The patients' mean age was 68.4 ± 11.6 years; the AKI incidence was 10.5% (N = 1499). An absolute > 3 g/dL or 20% relative decrease in hemoglobin level was an independent predictor of AKI incidence (odds ratio, OR [95% confidence interval, CI]: 2.24 [1.92-2.61], P < 0.001; 2.35 [2.04-2.71], P < 0.001, respectively). An adjusted restricted cubic spline demonstrated that absolute/relative decrease in hemoglobin was linearly associated with AKI. Logistic and ML models with absolute/relative hemoglobin changes were comparable while estimating the risk of AKI (absolute area under the curve [AUC] (logistic):0.826, AUC (ML): 0.820; relative AUC (logistic): 0.818, AUC (ML): 0.816). An absolute/relative decrease in periprocedural hemoglobin after PCI was linearly associated with AKI. Detection of a relative/absolute decrease in hemoglobin may help clinicians identify individuals as high risk for AKI after PCI.
急性肾损伤(AKI)在接受经皮冠状动脉介入治疗(PCI)的患者中很常见。AKI 的一个风险因素是围手术期血红蛋白下降水平(> 3 g/dL);然而,血红蛋白下降与 AKI 之间的关系是线性的还是非线性的尚不清楚。我们旨在研究 PCI 后围手术期血红蛋白下降与 AKI 之间的关系。我们评估了 2008 年 9 月至 2019 年 3 月期间连续接受 PCI 的 14273 例患者。AKI 的定义为血清肌酐水平绝对或相对增加 0.3mg/dL 或 50%,分别。使用逻辑回归和机器学习(ML)模型构建受限立方样条,通过该模型评估血红蛋白下降与 AKI 之间的关系,并用于预测 AKI 的风险。患者的平均年龄为 68.4 ± 11.6 岁;AKI 发生率为 10.5%(N = 1499)。血红蛋白水平绝对下降> 3 g/dL 或相对下降 20%是 AKI 发生率的独立预测因子(优势比,OR [95%置信区间,CI]:2.24 [1.92-2.61],P < 0.001;2.35 [2.04-2.71],P < 0.001)。调整后的受限立方样条表明,血红蛋白的绝对/相对下降与 AKI 呈线性相关。在估计 AKI 风险时,具有绝对/相对血红蛋白变化的逻辑和 ML 模型相当(绝对曲线下面积[AUC](逻辑):0.826,AUC(ML):0.820;相对 AUC(逻辑):0.818,AUC(ML):0.816)。PCI 后围手术期血红蛋白的绝对/相对下降与 AKI 呈线性相关。检测血红蛋白的相对/绝对下降可能有助于临床医生识别 PCI 后 AKI 风险较高的个体。