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自然灾害的影响和农民的感知:来自越南偏远山区的山洪和滑坡的视角。

Natural hazard's effect and farmers' perception: Perspectives from flash floods and landslides in remotely mountainous regions of Vietnam.

机构信息

United Nations University, Institute for Environment and Human Security, Germany; Thai Nguyen University of Agriculture and Forestry, Viet Nam.

Agriculture and Food, The Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO), Australia.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2021 Mar 10;759:142656. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.142656. Epub 2020 Oct 2.

Abstract

Understanding perceptions of indigenous people toward natural disasters is essential in social and environmental research to facilitate further studies in investigating the impacts of the events, as well as in examining the adaptive strategies and having implications for policymakers and relevant institutional bodies. We took this essential feature to study the perceptions of local people toward the two common natural disasters: flash floods and landslides. We selected the case study in three communes (An Binh, An Thinh, and Dai Son) in Van Yen district, Yen Bai province in Vietnam. This is because flash floods and landslides are two frequent natural disasters that highly adversely affect these areas where major poor ethnic minority communities reside. We conducted six Focus Group Discussions (FGDs) and household surveys (405 households) in 2016. The results showed that a decline in productivity, a decrease in income, more hard-working conditions, and an increase in daily expenses were the most observed impacts of these natural disasters in the communes. The analysis also revealed that almost 45% of farmers perceived an increasing trend in the frequency and impacts of flash floods and landslides over the past 15 years. A Multinomial Logit (MNL) model was used to analyze the determinants of farmers' awareness of flash floods and landslides, which indicated that farmers' perceptions of flash floods and landslides are associated with socio-economic characteristics, such as gender, agricultural experience, ethnic groups, climate information, and household income conditions. We suggested that local governments should pay more attention to strengthen farmers' awareness to help improve perceptions of local people toward common natural disasters so that they would gain better adaptive capacities and become more sustainable, which are in line with the Sustainable Development Goals.

摘要

了解原住民对自然灾害的看法,对于社会和环境研究至关重要,有助于进一步研究事件的影响,以及考察适应策略,并为政策制定者和相关机构提供启示。我们利用这一重要特征,研究当地人对两种常见自然灾害(山洪和滑坡)的看法。我们选择了越南宁安省安银、安庭和代松三个公社作为案例研究,因为山洪和滑坡是这两个地区经常发生的自然灾害,对主要贫困少数民族社区的影响非常严重。我们于 2016 年进行了六次焦点小组讨论(FGD)和家庭调查(405 户)。结果表明,生产力下降、收入减少、工作条件更加艰苦以及日常开支增加是这些自然灾害在公社中最明显的影响。分析还表明,近 45%的农民认为过去 15 年来山洪和滑坡的频率和影响呈上升趋势。我们使用多项逻辑回归(MNL)模型分析了农民对山洪和滑坡的认识的决定因素,结果表明,农民对山洪和滑坡的认识与社会经济特征有关,如性别、农业经验、族裔群体、气候信息和家庭收入状况。我们建议地方政府应更加重视加强农民的意识,以帮助提高当地人对常见自然灾害的认识,使他们获得更好的适应能力,变得更加可持续,这符合可持续发展目标。

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