College of Economics and Management, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing, 211106, China.
Institute of Regional Economy, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing, 211106, China.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 Aug;29(38):57306-57316. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-19895-4. Epub 2022 Mar 29.
Poor agricultural communities are particularly more disruptive to changes in climate. In southeast Asian countries, Pakistan is extremely vulnerable to weather-related events including droughts and floods. This research study aims to determine the farmers' perception towards climatic risks, farmers' choice of adaptation strategies and factors influencing farmers' decision of adaptation measures. A face-to-face household survey was conducted to collect primary data of 378 farm households from three tehsils of district Charsadda-Khyber Pakhuntkhwa (KP) province of Pakistan. A structured questionnaire was utilized as an instrument to collect data from the targeted farmers in study areas (three tehsils of district Charsadda). A binary probit model approach was used to assess the major factors affecting farmers' decision towards adaptation measures. Results revealed that changing crop varieties, diversification of crops, changing crop calendar, and insurance of crops were the major adaptive measures exercised by farm households in their farms. Findings of the binary probit approach showed that age of the respondents, farm size, educational level, credit access, household size, extension services access and perception of increased floods, and reduction in precipitation had substantial effect on the farmers' adaptation strategies choice. Advanced agricultural practices in response to the climatic risks can thus have substantial effects and reduction in farmers' exposure to natural calamities. Study findings of our research can guide policy makers and concerned authorities and provide policy implications for future research studies.
贫困的农业社区尤其容易受到气候变化的影响。在东南亚国家,巴基斯坦极易受到与天气有关的事件的影响,包括干旱和洪水。本研究旨在确定农民对气候风险的看法、农民选择的适应策略以及影响农民适应措施决策的因素。通过面对面的家庭调查,从巴基斯坦开伯尔-普赫图赫瓦省查尔萨达县的三个县收集了 378 户农户的主要数据。利用结构化问卷作为工具,从研究地区(查尔萨达县的三个县)的目标农户中收集数据。采用二元概率模型方法评估影响农民适应措施决策的主要因素。结果表明,改变作物品种、作物多样化、改变作物种植时间和作物保险是农户在农场中采取的主要适应措施。二元概率方法的结果表明,受访者的年龄、农场规模、教育水平、获得信贷的机会、家庭规模、获得推广服务的机会以及对洪水增加和降水减少的看法对农民的适应策略选择有实质性影响。因此,针对气候风险采取先进的农业措施可以对农民减少暴露在自然灾害中的风险产生实质性影响。我们的研究结果可以为决策者和有关当局提供指导,并为未来的研究提供政策启示。