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全球 2019 年冠状病毒病感染需入住 ICU 的影响:系统评价和荟萃分析。

Global Impact of Coronavirus Disease 2019 Infection Requiring Admission to the ICU: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

机构信息

Intensive Care Unit, Royal Melbourne Hospital, Parkville, VIC, Australia.

Intensive Care Unit, Royal North Shore Hospital, St Leonards, NSW, Australia.

出版信息

Chest. 2021 Feb;159(2):524-536. doi: 10.1016/j.chest.2020.10.014. Epub 2020 Oct 15.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has placed unprecedented burden on the delivery of intensive care services worldwide.

RESEARCH QUESTION

What is the global point estimate of deaths and risk factors for patients who are admitted to ICUs with severe COVID-19?

STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS

In this systematic review and meta-analysis Medline, Embase, and the Cochrane library were searched up to August 1, 2020. Pooled prevalence of participant characteristics, clinical features, and outcome data was calculated with the use of random effects models. Subgroup analyses were based on geographic distribution, study type, quality assessment, sample size, end date, and patient disposition. Studies that reported in-hospital mortality rate of adult patients (age >18 years) with confirmed COVID-19 admitted to an ICU met study eligibility criteria. Critical evaluation was performed with the Newcastle Ottawa Scale for nonrandomized studies.

RESULTS

Forty-five studies with 16,561 patients from 17 countries across four continents were included. Patients with COVID-19 who were admitted to ICUs had a mean age of 62.6 years (95% CI, 60.4-64.7). Common comorbidities included hypertension (49.5%; 95% CI, 44.9-54.0) and diabetes mellitus (26.6%; 95% CI, 22.7-30.8). More than three-quarters of cases experienced the development of ARDS (76.1%; 95% CI, 65.7-85.2). Invasive mechanical ventilation was required in 67.7% (95% CI, 59.1-75.7) of case, vasopressor support in 65.9% (95% CI, 52.4-78.4) of cases, renal replacement therapy in 16.9% (95% CI, 12.1-22.2) of cases, and extracorporeal membrane oxygenation in 6.4% (95% CI, 4.1-9.1) of cases. The duration of ICU and hospital admission was 10.8 days (95% CI, 9.3-18.4) and 19.1 days (95% CI, 16.3-21.9), respectively, with in-hospital mortality rate of 28.1% (95% CI, 23.4-33.0; I = 96%). No significant subgroup effect was observed.

INTERPRETATION

Critically ill patients with COVID-19 who are admitted to the ICU require substantial organ support and prolonged ICU and hospital level care. The pooled estimate of global death from severe COVID-19 is <1 in 3.

摘要

背景

2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)大流行给全球重症监护服务的提供带来了前所未有的负担。

研究问题

因严重 COVID-19 而入住 ICU 的患者的全球死亡人数和死亡风险因素的全球点估计值是多少?

研究设计和方法

在这项系统评价和荟萃分析中,检索了 Medline、Embase 和 Cochrane 图书馆,检索时间截至 2020 年 8 月 1 日。使用随机效应模型计算参与者特征、临床特征和结局数据的汇总患病率。基于地理分布、研究类型、质量评估、样本量、截止日期和患者处置情况进行亚组分析。符合研究条件的是报告了在 ICU 接受治疗的确诊 COVID-19 成人患者(年龄>18 岁)的住院死亡率的研究。采用纽卡斯尔-渥太华量表对非随机研究进行了严格评估。

结果

纳入了来自四大洲 17 个国家的 45 项研究共 16561 名患者。入住 ICU 的 COVID-19 患者的平均年龄为 62.6 岁(95%CI,60.4-64.7)。常见的合并症包括高血压(49.5%;95%CI,44.9-54.0)和糖尿病(26.6%;95%CI,22.7-30.8)。超过四分之三的病例发生了急性呼吸窘迫综合征(76.1%;95%CI,65.7-85.2)。需要有创机械通气的患者占 67.7%(95%CI,59.1-75.7),血管加压素支持的患者占 65.9%(95%CI,52.4-78.4),需要肾脏替代治疗的患者占 16.9%(95%CI,12.1-22.2),体外膜肺氧合的患者占 6.4%(95%CI,4.1-9.1)。入住 ICU 和住院的时间分别为 10.8 天(95%CI,9.3-18.4)和 19.1 天(95%CI,16.3-21.9),院内死亡率为 28.1%(95%CI,23.4-33.0;I=96%)。未观察到显著的亚组效应。

解释

因严重 COVID-19 而入住 ICU 的危重症患者需要大量的器官支持和延长的 ICU 和医院级别的护理。全球严重 COVID-19 死亡的全球估计值<1/3。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cabc/7557272/884c30f16833/gr1_lrg.jpg

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