Department of Health Policy and Management, College of Public Health, University of Georgia, Athens.
Department of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, College of Public Health, University of Georgia, Athens.
JAMA Netw Open. 2020 Oct 1;3(10):e2022914. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2020.22914.
IMPORTANCE: Access to primary care clinicians, including primary care physicians and nonphysician clinicians (nurse practitioners and physician assistants) is necessary to improving population health. However, rural-urban trends in primary care access in the US are not well studied. OBJECTIVE: To assess the rural-urban trends in the primary care workforce from 2009 to 2017 across all counties in the US. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: In this cross-sectional study of US counties, county rural-urban status was defined according to the national rural-urban classification scheme for counties used by the National Center for Health Statistics at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Trends in the county-level distribution of primary care clinicians from 2009 to 2017 were examined. Data were analyzed from November 12, 2019, to February 10, 2020. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Density of primary care clinicians measured as the number of primary care physicians, nurse practitioners, and physician assistants per 3500 population in each county. The average annual percentage change (APC) of the means of the density of primary care clinicians over time was calculated, and generalized estimating equations were used to adjust for county-level sociodemographic variables obtained from the American Community Survey. RESULTS: The study included data from 3143 US counties (1167 [37%] urban and 1976 [63%] rural). The number of primary care clinicians per 3500 people increased significantly in rural counties (2009 median density: 2.04; interquartile range [IQR], 1.43-2.76; and 2017 median density: 2.29; IQR, 1.57-3.23; P < .001) and urban counties (2009 median density: 2.26; IQR. 1.52-3.23; and 2017 median density: 2.66; IQR, 1.72-4.02; P < .001). The APC of the mean density of primary care physicians in rural counties was 1.70% (95% CI, 0.84%-2.57%), nurse practitioners was 8.37% (95% CI, 7.11%-9.63%), and physician assistants was 5.14% (95% CI, 3.91%-6.37%); the APC of the mean density of primary care physicians in urban counties was 2.40% (95% CI, 1.19%-3.61%), nurse practitioners was 8.64% (95% CI, 7.72%-9.55%), and physician assistants was 6.42% (95% CI, 5.34%-7.50%). Results from the generalized estimating equations model showed that the density of primary care clinicians in urban counties increased faster than in rural counties (β = 0.04; 95% CI, 0.03 to 0.05; P < .001). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Although the density of primary care clinicians increased in both rural and urban counties during the 2009-2017 period, the increase was more pronounced in urban than in rural counties. Closing rural-urban gaps in access to primary care clinicians may require increasingly intensive efforts targeting rural areas.
重要提示:为了改善人口健康状况,需要有初级保健临床医生(包括初级保健医生和非医师临床医生(护士从业者和医师助理))提供服务。然而,美国农村和城市地区初级保健服务获取情况的趋势尚未得到充分研究。
目的:评估 2009 年至 2017 年期间美国所有县初级保健人员队伍的城乡趋势。
设计、地点和参与者:本研究为美国县的横断面研究,根据疾病控制与预防中心国家卫生统计中心使用的全国县农村-城市分类方案定义县的农村-城市地位。检查了 2009 年至 2017 年期间县一级初级保健临床医生分布趋势。数据分析于 2019 年 11 月 12 日至 2020 年 2 月 10 日进行。
主要结果和措施:以每 3500 人口的初级保健医生、护士从业者和医师助理人数衡量初级保健临床医生的密度。计算了密度平均值的年度平均百分比变化(APC),并使用广义估计方程对从美国社区调查中获得的县一级社会人口统计学变量进行了调整。
结果:该研究纳入了来自 3143 个美国县(1167 个[37%]城市和县和 1976 个[63%]农村县)的数据。农村县每 3500 人拥有的初级保健临床医生人数显著增加(2009 年中位数密度:2.04;四分位距[IQR],1.43-2.76;2017 年中位数密度:2.29;IQR,1.57-3.23;P<.001)和城市县(2009 年中位数密度:2.26;IQR,1.52-3.23;2017 年中位数密度:2.66;IQR,1.72-4.02;P<.001)。农村县初级保健医生平均密度的 APC 为 1.70%(95%CI,0.84%-2.57%),护士从业者为 8.37%(95%CI,7.11%-9.63%),医师助理为 5.14%(95%CI,3.91%-6.37%);城市县初级保健医生平均密度的 APC 为 2.40%(95%CI,1.19%-3.61%),护士从业者为 8.64%(95%CI,7.72%-9.55%),医师助理为 6.42%(95%CI,5.34%-7.50%)。广义估计方程模型的结果表明,城市县初级保健临床医生的密度增长速度快于农村县(β=0.04;95%CI,0.03 至 0.05;P<.001)。
结论和相关性:尽管在 2009-2017 年期间,农村和城市县的初级保健临床医生密度都有所增加,但城市县的增幅更为明显。缩小农村和城市地区获得初级保健临床医生服务的差距可能需要越来越多地针对农村地区进行密集努力。
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