Kang Xiangpeng, Shi Hongzhe, Wang Dong, Xiao Zejun, Tian Jun, Bi Xingang, Jiang Weixing, Li Changling, Ma Jianhui, Zheng Shan, Sun Yueping, Shou Jianzhong
Department of Urinary Surgery, National Cancer Center, National Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing 100021, People's Republic of China.
Department of Pathology, National Cancer Center, National Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing 100021, People's Republic of China.
Cancer Manag Res. 2020 Oct 12;12:10023-10033. doi: 10.2147/CMAR.S264400. eCollection 2020.
This study aimed to construct a predictive model for recurrence and metastasis in patients with localized clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC) based on multiple preoperative blood indexes and oncological characteristics.
Overall, 442 patients with localized ccRCC between 2013 and 2015 were included. Using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression analysis, the top three risk factors from the peripheral blood indicators were screened to construct a risk score, and a prognostic model was established. Harrell's concordance index (C-index) was applied to evaluate the predictive accuracy of the model for predicting disease-free survival (DFS) in ccRCC.
Out of 38 blood indexes, the top three predictors were fibrinogen (FIB), C-reactive protein (CRP) and neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR). The FIB-CRP-NLR (FCN) score (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.86, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.21-2.9, = 0.005) was an independent prognostic factor in multivariate analysis. Furthermore, the FIB-CRP-NLR-T-Grade (FCNTG) risk model combining FCN score, T stage and Furhman grade achieved a higher prognostic accuracy (mean C-index, 0.728) than both the FCN score alone (mean C-index, 0.675) and the stage, size, grade, and necrosis (SSIGN) score (mean C-index, 0.686) in the validation cohort.
The FCN score combining peripheral blood indicators of inflammation and coagulation is an independent prognostic marker of ccRCC. The FCNTG model, which systemically incorporates preoperative blood indexes to oncological characteristics, shows its advantages of convenience and high prediction efficiency.
本研究旨在基于多项术前血液指标和肿瘤学特征构建局限性透明细胞肾细胞癌(ccRCC)患者复发和转移的预测模型。
共纳入2013年至2015年间442例局限性ccRCC患者。采用最小绝对收缩和选择算子(LASSO)Cox回归分析,从外周血指标中筛选出前三位风险因素构建风险评分,并建立预后模型。应用Harrell一致性指数(C指数)评估该模型预测ccRCC无病生存期(DFS)的预测准确性。
在38项血液指标中,前三位预测指标为纤维蛋白原(FIB)、C反应蛋白(CRP)和中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值(NLR)。FIB-CRP-NLR(FCN)评分(风险比[HR]:1.86,95%置信区间[CI]:1.21-2.9,P = 0.005)在多因素分析中是独立的预后因素。此外,在验证队列中,结合FCN评分、T分期和Fuhrman分级的FIB-CRP-NLR-T分级(FCNTG)风险模型比单独的FCN评分(平均C指数,0.675)和分期、大小、分级及坏死(SSIGN)评分(平均C指数,0.686)具有更高的预后准确性(平均C指数,0.728)。
结合炎症和凝血外周血指标的FCN评分是ccRCC的独立预后标志物。系统纳入术前血液指标和肿瘤学特征的FCNTG模型显示出其方便性和高预测效率的优势。