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Mortality due to cancer treatment delay: systematic review and meta-analysis.

作者信息

Hanna Timothy P, King Will D, Thibodeau Stephane, Jalink Matthew, Paulin Gregory A, Harvey-Jones Elizabeth, O'Sullivan Dylan E, Booth Christopher M, Sullivan Richard, Aggarwal Ajay

机构信息

Division of Cancer Care and Epidemiology, Cancer Research Institute at Queen's University, 10 Stuart Street, 2nd Level, Kingston, ON K7L3N6, Canada.

Department of Oncology, Queen's University, Kingston, ON, Canada.

出版信息

BMJ. 2020 Nov 4;371:m4087. doi: 10.1136/bmj.m4087.


DOI:10.1136/bmj.m4087
PMID:33148535
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7610021/
Abstract

OBJECTIVE: To quantify the association of cancer treatment delay and mortality for each four week increase in delay to inform cancer treatment pathways. DESIGN: Systematic review and meta-analysis. DATA SOURCES: Published studies in Medline from 1 January 2000 to 10 April 2020. ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA FOR SELECTING STUDIES: Curative, neoadjuvant, and adjuvant indications for surgery, systemic treatment, or radiotherapy for cancers of the bladder, breast, colon, rectum, lung, cervix, and head and neck were included. The main outcome measure was the hazard ratio for overall survival for each four week delay for each indication. Delay was measured from diagnosis to first treatment, or from the completion of one treatment to the start of the next. The primary analysis only included high validity studies controlling for major prognostic factors. Hazard ratios were assumed to be log linear in relation to overall survival and were converted to an effect for each four week delay. Pooled effects were estimated using DerSimonian and Laird random effect models. RESULTS: The review included 34 studies for 17 indications (n=1 272 681 patients). No high validity data were found for five of the radiotherapy indications or for cervical cancer surgery. The association between delay and increased mortality was significant (P<0.05) for 13 of 17 indications. Surgery findings were consistent, with a mortality risk for each four week delay of 1.06-1.08 (eg, colectomy 1.06, 95% confidence interval 1.01 to 1.12; breast surgery 1.08, 1.03 to 1.13). Estimates for systemic treatment varied (hazard ratio range 1.01-1.28). Radiotherapy estimates were for radical radiotherapy for head and neck cancer (hazard ratio 1.09, 95% confidence interval 1.05 to 1.14), adjuvant radiotherapy after breast conserving surgery (0.98, 0.88 to 1.09), and cervix cancer adjuvant radiotherapy (1.23, 1.00 to 1.50). A sensitivity analysis of studies that had been excluded because of lack of information on comorbidities or functional status did not change the findings. CONCLUSIONS: Cancer treatment delay is a problem in health systems worldwide. The impact of delay on mortality can now be quantified for prioritisation and modelling. Even a four week delay of cancer treatment is associated with increased mortality across surgical, systemic treatment, and radiotherapy indications for seven cancers. Policies focused on minimising system level delays to cancer treatment initiation could improve population level survival outcomes.

摘要
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b14c/7610021/9eaed0ca0989/hant058457.f4.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b14c/7610021/58d60f03f744/hant058457.va.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b14c/7610021/4998ed3992f5/hant058457.f1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b14c/7610021/c1fa890d2d34/hant058457.f2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b14c/7610021/79feb35a9216/hant058457.f3.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b14c/7610021/9eaed0ca0989/hant058457.f4.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b14c/7610021/58d60f03f744/hant058457.va.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b14c/7610021/4998ed3992f5/hant058457.f1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b14c/7610021/c1fa890d2d34/hant058457.f2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b14c/7610021/79feb35a9216/hant058457.f3.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b14c/7610021/9eaed0ca0989/hant058457.f4.jpg

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本文引用的文献

[1]
Confronting the COVID-19 surgery crisis: time for transformational change.

CMAJ. 2020-5-25

[2]
Effect of time interval from diagnosis to treatment for non-small cell lung cancer on survival: a national cohort study in Taiwan.

BMJ Open. 2020-4-22

[3]
Cancer, COVID-19 and the precautionary principle: prioritizing treatment during a global pandemic.

Nat Rev Clin Oncol. 2020-5

[4]
Determinants of Variation in the Use of Adjuvant Chemotherapy for Stage III Colon Cancer in England.

Clin Oncol (R Coll Radiol). 2020-5

[5]
Time to Surgery and the Impact of Delay in the Non-Neoadjuvant Setting on Triple-Negative Breast Cancers and Other Phenotypes.

Ann Surg Oncol. 2020-5

[6]
Improving automatic delineation for head and neck organs at risk by Deep Learning Contouring.

Radiother Oncol. 2019-10-22

[7]
Effect of time interval from diagnosis to treatment for cervical cancer on survival: A nationwide cohort study.

PLoS One. 2019-9-4

[8]
Time-to-surgery and overall survival after breast cancer diagnosis in a universal health system.

Breast Cancer Res Treat. 2019-8-14

[9]
Survival Benefit Persists With Delayed Initiation of Adjuvant Chemotherapy Following Radical Cystectomy for Locally Advanced Bladder Cancer.

Urology. 2019-6-11

[10]
Delays in radical cystectomy for muscle-invasive bladder cancer.

Cancer. 2019-3-6

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