Terrestrial Ecology Section, Norwegian Institute for Nature Research - NINA, 0349, Oslo, Norway.
CICERO Center for International Climate Research, PO Box 1129 Blindern, N318, Oslo, Norway.
Environ Res. 2021 Jan;192:110403. doi: 10.1016/j.envres.2020.110403. Epub 2020 Nov 2.
The lockdown response to COVID-19 has resulted in an unprecedented reduction in global economic activity and associated air pollutant levels, especially from a decline in land transportation. We utilized a network of >10,000 air quality stations distributed over 34 countries during lockdown dates up until 15 May 2020 to obtain lockdown related anomalies for nitrogen dioxide, ozone and particulate matter smaller than 2.5 μm in diameter (PM). Pollutant anomalies were related to short-term health outcomes using empirical exposure-response functions. We estimate that there were a net total of 49,900 (11,000 to 90,000; 95% confidence interval) excess deaths and 89,000 (64,700 to 107,000) pediatric asthma emergency room visits avoided during lockdowns. In China and India alone, the PM-related avoided excess mortality was 19,600 (15,300 to 24,000) and 30,500 (5700 to 68,000), respectively. While the state of COVID-19 imposed lockdown is not sustainable, these findings illustrate the potential health benefits gained by reducing "business as usual" air pollutant emissions from economic activities primarily through finding alternative transportation solutions.
由于 COVID-19 的封锁措施,全球经济活动和相关的空气污染物水平都出现了前所未有的下降,尤其是陆地交通造成的污染物下降明显。我们利用了一个由超过 10000 个空气质量监测站组成的网络,这些监测站分布在 34 个国家,监测时间截至 2020 年 5 月 15 日,以获取与封锁相关的二氧化氮、臭氧和直径小于 2.5μm 的颗粒物(PM)的异常数据。我们使用经验暴露-反应函数将污染物异常与短期健康结果联系起来。我们估计,封锁期间总共避免了 49900 例(11000 到 90000;95%置信区间)超额死亡和 89000 例(64700 到 107000)儿科哮喘急诊就诊。仅在中国和印度,与 PM 相关的避免超额死亡人数就分别为 19600 例(15300 到 24000 例)和 30500 例(5700 到 68000 例)。虽然 COVID-19 实施封锁的状态不可持续,但这些发现表明,通过主要通过寻找替代交通解决方案来减少经济活动中“常规”空气污染物排放,可以获得潜在的健康益处。