Department of Medicine-Infectious Disease, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA; Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Department of Medicine-Infectious Disease, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
J Am Med Dir Assoc. 2020 Dec;21(12):1767-1773.e1. doi: 10.1016/j.jamda.2020.10.011. Epub 2020 Oct 14.
OBJECTIVE: Clinical implications of asymptomatic cases of the novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in nursing homes remain poorly understood. We assessed the association of symptom status and medical comorbidities on mortality and hospitalization risk associated with COVID-19 in residents across 15 nursing homes in Maryland. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: 1970 residents from 15 nursing home facilities with universal COVID-19 testing in Maryland. METHODS: We used descriptive statistics to compare baseline characteristics, logistic regression to assess the association of comorbidities with COVID-19, and Cox regression to assess the association of asymptomatic and symptomatic COVID-19 with mortality and hospitalization. We assessed the association of comorbidities with mortality and hospitalization risk. Symptom status was assessed at the time of the first test. Maximum follow-up was 94 days. RESULTS: Among the 1970 residents (mean age 73.8, 57% female, 68% black), 752 (38.2%) were positive on their first test. Residents who were positive for COVID-19 and had multiple symptoms at the time of testing had the highest risk of mortality [hazard ratio (HR) 4.44, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.97, 6.65) and hospitalization (subhazard ratio 2.38, 95% CI 1.70, 3.33), even after accounting for comorbidity burden. Cases who were asymptomatic at testing had a higher risk of mortality (HR 2.92, 95% CI 1.95, 4.35) but not hospitalization (HR 1.06, 95% CI 0.82, 1.38) compared with those who were negative for COVID-19. Of 52 SARS-CoV-2-positive residents who were asymptomatic at the time of testing and were closely monitored for 14 days at one facility, only 6 (11.6%) developed symptoms. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: Asymptomatic infection with SARS-CoV-2 in the nursing home setting was associated with increased risk of death, suggesting a need for closer monitoring of these residents, particularly those with underlying cardiovascular and respiratory comorbidities.
目的: 养老院中新型冠状病毒病 2019(COVID-19)无症状病例的临床意义仍知之甚少。我们评估了症状状态和医疗合并症与马里兰州 15 家养老院居民 COVID-19 死亡率和住院风险的关联。
设计: 回顾性队列研究。
地点和参与者: 在马里兰州进行了普遍 COVID-19 检测的 15 家养老院的 1970 名居民。
方法: 我们使用描述性统计数据比较了基线特征,使用逻辑回归评估了合并症与 COVID-19 的关系,使用 Cox 回归评估了无症状和有症状 COVID-19 与死亡率和住院率的关系。我们评估了合并症与死亡率和住院风险的关系。症状状态在第一次检测时进行评估。最大随访时间为 94 天。
结果: 在 1970 名居民中(平均年龄 73.8 岁,57%为女性,68%为黑人),752 名(38.2%)首次检测呈阳性。在检测时 COVID-19 呈阳性且有多种症状的居民的死亡率风险最高[风险比(HR)4.44,95%置信区间(CI)2.97,6.65]和住院率(亚风险比 2.38,95%CI 1.70,3.33),即使考虑到合并症负担也是如此。与 COVID-19 检测阴性的居民相比,检测时无症状的患者死亡率风险更高(HR 2.92,95%CI 1.95,4.35),但住院风险无差异(HR 1.06,95%CI 0.82,1.38)。在一个设施中,对 52 名 SARS-CoV-2 阳性且检测时无症状的居民进行了为期 14 天的密切监测,只有 6 名(11.6%)出现症状。
结论和意义: 养老院中 SARS-CoV-2 的无症状感染与死亡风险增加有关,这表明需要对这些居民进行更密切的监测,特别是那些有潜在心血管和呼吸系统合并症的居民。
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