Department of Oncology, 900th Hospital of PLA, Fuzhou, China.
Department of Medical Oncology, Xiamen Branch, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
BMJ Open. 2020 Nov 6;10(11):e038172. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-038172.
To explore the non-linear relationship between platelet count (PLT) and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) overall survival (OS).
The study was done in Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center (SYSUCC) from January 2007 to May 2012, a total of 5005 consecutive participants at SYSUCC were retrospectively reviewed, and 979 patients with Barcelona clinic liver cancer (BCLC) stage B were selected for the final analysis.
A total of 979 newly diagnosed patients with HCC with BCLC stage B were identified for the secondary analysis. Eight cases were excluded for missing data of PLT.
Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to calculate multivariable-adjusted HRs and 95% CIs for HCC. The non-linear relationship was estimated through a restricted cubic spline regression, and a two-piecewise Cox proportional hazards model was further performed to calculate the threshold effect. We used multiple imputation to deal with the missing data.
In the multivariate analysis, Log PLT was associated with a 91% risk increase in death (HR 1.91; 1.28 to 2.85) with adjustment for gender, Child-Pugh class, age × diameter of main tumour, both lobe with lesions × number of the intrahepatic lesions, alpha-fetoprotein (<25, ≥25) and lactic dehydrogenase (<245, ≥245). We also found a U-shape relationship between PLT and HCC OS at the inflexion point of 67.6×10/L. The HR was 0.12 (95% CI 0.03 to 0.52) for Log PLT≤10.83 and 3.07 (CI 1.91 to 4.92) for Log PLT>10.83 after adjusting for potential confounders. The core results were consistent with those from the sensitivity analysis. Besides, a significantly higher hazard risk was found in the patients with age <55, both lobes with lesions, tumour diameter >50, haemoglobin ≥120 and C reactive protein >10.
PLT was nonlinearly associated with HCC OS.
探索血小板计数(PLT)与肝细胞癌(HCC)总生存期(OS)之间的非线性关系。
本研究于 2007 年 1 月至 2012 年 5 月在中山大学肿瘤防治中心(SYSUCC)进行,回顾性分析了 5005 例连续参与者,最终选择了 979 例巴塞罗那临床肝癌(BCLC)分期 B 的患者进行最终分析。
共纳入 979 例新诊断为 BCLC 分期 B 的 HCC 患者进行二次分析。因 PLT 缺失数据,排除了 8 例。
Cox 比例风险回归模型用于计算 HCC 的多变量调整 HR 和 95%CI。通过限制立方样条回归估计非线性关系,进一步进行两分段 Cox 比例风险模型计算阈值效应。我们使用多重插补处理缺失数据。
在多变量分析中,调整性别、Child-Pugh 分级、肿瘤直径×主肿瘤的两个叶、两个叶有病变×肝内病变的数量、甲胎蛋白(<25,≥25)和乳酸脱氢酶(<245,≥245)后,Log PLT 与死亡风险增加 91%相关(HR 1.91;1.28 至 2.85)。我们还发现 PLT 与 HCC OS 之间存在 U 形关系,拐点为 67.6×10/L。在调整潜在混杂因素后,Log PLT≤10.83 的 HR 为 0.12(95%CI 0.03 至 0.52),Log PLT>10.83 的 HR 为 3.07(CI 1.91 至 4.92)。核心结果与敏感性分析一致。此外,在年龄<55 岁、两个叶有病变、肿瘤直径>50、血红蛋白≥120 和 C 反应蛋白>10 的患者中,发现了更高的危险风险。
PLT 与 HCC OS 呈非线性相关。