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基于1至7颗下颌牙齿,测试贝德克等人的新模型在7至15岁印度南部儿童年龄估计中的准确性。

Testing the accuracy of Bedek et al's new models based on 1-to-7 mandibular teeth for age estimation in 7-15 year old south Indian children.

作者信息

Sheriff S O, Medapati R Hr, Ankisetti S A, Gurrala V Rr, Haritha K, Pulijala S, Balla S B

机构信息

Clinical dentistry division, School of Dentistry International Medical University, Malaysia.

Department of Oral & Maxillofacial Surgery, Panineeya Mahavidyalaya Institute of Dental Sciences , Hyderabad.

出版信息

J Forensic Odontostomatol. 2020 Sep 30;38(2):22-39.

Abstract

The goal of long term research on age assessment is to focus on the strengths and weaknesses of existing reliable methods of age estimation. In cases of age estimation when all teeth are present, maximum accuracy can be obtained using a 7 tooth model. Demirjian's system and Willems models require all seven mandibular teeth in the lower left quadrant for age assessment. Unfortunately, these methods cannot be applied in children with hypodontia. In 2019, Bedek et al., from Croatia, developed new models of age estimation based on a combination of one to seven mandibular teeth. In the present study, we tested the accuracy of the newly developed models for age estimation in South Indian children. Tested in parallel with Willems models, the accuracy of the new models was tested in terms of mean difference, mean absolute error (MAE) and percentage of correct estimations within intervals of +0.5 and +1 years. In terms of mean difference between chronological age (CA) and estimated dental age (DA), all models along with Willems models have underestimated the CA except Bedek et al's 6 tooth model where overestimation of CA was seen in boys. For MAE and percentage of correct estimations, the new models performed better than Willems models. With regards to our results, it can be concluded that the new models for dental age calculation are accurate and suitable. Therefore, we may encourage their use for age estimation in South Indian children, particularly in individuals with hypodontia or when multiple teeth are missing.

摘要

年龄评估长期研究的目标是聚焦于现有可靠年龄估计方法的优缺点。在所有牙齿都存在的年龄估计案例中,使用七颗牙齿模型可获得最高准确性。德米尔坚系统和威廉姆斯模型需要左下象限的全部七颗下颌牙齿来进行年龄评估。不幸的是,这些方法不适用于牙齿发育不全的儿童。2019年,来自克罗地亚的贝德克等人基于一至七颗下颌牙齿的组合开发了新的年龄估计模型。在本研究中,我们测试了新开发的模型在南印度儿童中进行年龄估计的准确性。与威廉姆斯模型并行测试,新模型的准确性通过平均差异、平均绝对误差(MAE)以及在±0.5岁和±1岁区间内正确估计的百分比来检验。就实足年龄(CA)与估计牙龄(DA)之间的平均差异而言,除了贝德克等人的六颗牙齿模型中男孩的实足年龄被高估外,所有模型以及威廉姆斯模型都低估了实足年龄。对于平均绝对误差和正确估计的百分比,新模型的表现优于威廉姆斯模型。关于我们的结果,可以得出结论,新的牙龄计算模型准确且适用。因此,我们可以鼓励在南印度儿童中使用这些模型进行年龄估计,特别是在患有牙齿发育不全或多颗牙齿缺失的个体中。

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本文引用的文献

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Forensic Age Estimation.法医年龄推断。
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