Goodman C M
North West Thames Regional Health Authority, King's College London.
J Adv Nurs. 1987 Nov;12(6):729-34. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2648.1987.tb01376.x.
The development of the Delphi technique, as a survey method of research, and examples of its use are described. The technique's key characteristics, anonymity, use of experts and controlled feedback, are examined. The method's usefulness in structuring group communication for the discussion of specific issues and as an aid to policy making is discussed in the light of the technique's perceived drawbacks and limitations.
本文描述了德尔菲技术作为一种研究调查方法的发展历程及其应用实例。对该技术的关键特性,即匿名性、专家参与和可控反馈进行了研究。鉴于该技术存在的一些缺点和局限性,探讨了其在组织特定问题讨论的群体沟通以及辅助决策方面的实用性。