• 文献检索
  • 文档翻译
  • 深度研究
  • 学术资讯
  • Suppr Zotero 插件Zotero 插件
  • 邀请有礼
  • 套餐&价格
  • 历史记录
应用&插件
Suppr Zotero 插件Zotero 插件浏览器插件Mac 客户端Windows 客户端微信小程序
定价
高级版会员购买积分包购买API积分包
服务
文献检索文档翻译深度研究API 文档MCP 服务
关于我们
关于 Suppr公司介绍联系我们用户协议隐私条款
关注我们

Suppr 超能文献

核心技术专利:CN118964589B侵权必究
粤ICP备2023148730 号-1Suppr @ 2026

文献检索

告别复杂PubMed语法,用中文像聊天一样搜索,搜遍4000万医学文献。AI智能推荐,让科研检索更轻松。

立即免费搜索

文件翻译

保留排版,准确专业,支持PDF/Word/PPT等文件格式,支持 12+语言互译。

免费翻译文档

深度研究

AI帮你快速写综述,25分钟生成高质量综述,智能提取关键信息,辅助科研写作。

立即免费体验

德尔菲法:一种批判性分析。

The Delphi technique: a critique.

作者信息

Goodman C M

机构信息

North West Thames Regional Health Authority, King's College London.

出版信息

J Adv Nurs. 1987 Nov;12(6):729-34. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2648.1987.tb01376.x.

DOI:10.1111/j.1365-2648.1987.tb01376.x
PMID:3320139
Abstract

The development of the Delphi technique, as a survey method of research, and examples of its use are described. The technique's key characteristics, anonymity, use of experts and controlled feedback, are examined. The method's usefulness in structuring group communication for the discussion of specific issues and as an aid to policy making is discussed in the light of the technique's perceived drawbacks and limitations.

摘要

本文描述了德尔菲技术作为一种研究调查方法的发展历程及其应用实例。对该技术的关键特性,即匿名性、专家参与和可控反馈进行了研究。鉴于该技术存在的一些缺点和局限性,探讨了其在组织特定问题讨论的群体沟通以及辅助决策方面的实用性。

相似文献

1
The Delphi technique: a critique.德尔菲法:一种批判性分析。
J Adv Nurs. 1987 Nov;12(6):729-34. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2648.1987.tb01376.x.
2
A critical review of the Delphi technique as a research methodology for nursing.对德尔菲技术作为护理研究方法的批判性综述。
Int J Nurs Stud. 2001 Apr;38(2):195-200. doi: 10.1016/s0020-7489(00)00044-4.
3
Consulting the oracle: ten lessons from using the Delphi technique in nursing research.咨询神谕:护理研究中使用德尔菲技术的十条经验教训。
J Adv Nurs. 2006 Jan;53(2):205-12. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2648.2006.03716.x.
4
Insights into the use and complexities of the Policy Delphi technique.政策德尔菲技术的应用及复杂性洞察
Nurse Res. 2014 Jan;21(3):32-9. doi: 10.7748/nr2014.01.21.3.32.e342.
5
The use of advanced web-based survey design in Delphi research.在 Delphi 研究中使用先进的基于网络的调查设计。
J Adv Nurs. 2017 Dec;73(12):3168-3177. doi: 10.1111/jan.13381. Epub 2017 Jul 28.
6
[What is the Delphi method? Strengths and shortcomings].[什么是德尔菲法?优点与缺点]
Psychiatr Pol. 2008 Jan-Feb;42(1):5-15.
7
Canadian therapists' priorities for clinical research: a Delphi study.加拿大治疗师对临床研究的优先事项:一项德尔菲研究。
Phys Ther. 1990 Jul;70(7):448-54. doi: 10.1093/ptj/70.7.448.
8
Using the Delphi technique in nursing research.在护理研究中运用德尔菲技术。
Nurs Stand. 2015 May 27;29(39):43-9. doi: 10.7748/ns.29.39.43.e8804.
9
Improving TMD classification using the Delphi technique.运用德尔菲技术改善 TMD 分类。
J Oral Rehabil. 2010 Oct;37(10):766-70. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2842.2010.02109.x. Epub 2010 May 24.
10
Nursing research priorities for Ireland.爱尔兰的护理研究重点。
J Nurs Scholarsh. 2007;39(4):298-305. doi: 10.1111/j.1547-5069.2007.00184.x.

引用本文的文献

1
Cultural adaptation and content validation of the Watson Caritas patient instrument for a Latin American Spanish context.针对拉丁美洲西班牙语环境对沃森关爱患者量表进行文化调适与内容效度验证。
J Res Nurs. 2025 Aug 1:17449871251333620. doi: 10.1177/17449871251333620.
2
Development of routine-data-compatible quality indicators for the management of osteoarthritis of the knee and hip in ambulatory care: a RAND-modified Delphi consensus process.制定用于门诊护理中膝关节和髋关节骨关节炎管理的常规数据兼容质量指标:一项兰德改良德尔菲共识过程
J Orthop Surg Res. 2025 Jul 26;20(1):711. doi: 10.1186/s13018-025-06127-x.
3
Understanding the Perspectives of School Children Who Stutter: A Rapid Review.
了解口吃学童的观点:快速综述
Int J Lang Commun Disord. 2025 Jul-Aug;60(4):e70075. doi: 10.1111/1460-6984.70075.
4
Developing an evaluation framework for public health environmental surveillance: Protocol for an international, multidisciplinary Delphi consensus study.制定公共卫生环境监测评估框架:一项国际多学科德尔菲共识研究方案
PLoS One. 2025 May 27;20(5):e0310342. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0310342. eCollection 2025.
5
Development of a clinical hand rehabilitation guideline for second to fifth metacarpal fracture rehabilitation: A Delphi method.第二至第五掌骨骨折康复临床手部康复指南的制定:德尔菲法
Br J Occup Ther. 2024 Jul;87(7):414-423. doi: 10.1177/03080226241241990. Epub 2024 Apr 3.
6
A network approach to addressing the needs of patients with incurable head and neck cancer and their families.一种满足无法治愈的头颈癌患者及其家属需求的网络方法。
Health Technol Assess. 2025 Apr 30:1-29. doi: 10.3310/TKLD6486.
7
Priority setting for improved leukemia management and research in South Africa: a modified Delphi study.南非改善白血病管理与研究的优先事项设定:一项改良德尔菲研究
Cancer Causes Control. 2025 Mar 4. doi: 10.1007/s10552-025-01979-4.
8
Construction of a performance evaluation index system for the management of chronic diseases based on medical and preventive integration.基于医防融合的慢性病管理绩效评价指标体系构建
BMC Public Health. 2025 Feb 18;25(1):664. doi: 10.1186/s12889-025-21768-7.
9
Expert Consensus Methods In The Humanities: An Exploration of their Potential.人文学科中的专家共识方法:对其潜力的探索
F1000Res. 2024 Dec 16;13:710. doi: 10.12688/f1000research.148726.2. eCollection 2024.
10
Determining the required data elements to develop the information management system for Iranian traditional medicine.确定为伊朗传统医学开发信息管理系统所需的数据元素。
BMC Complement Med Ther. 2025 Jan 17;25(1):13. doi: 10.1186/s12906-025-04744-x.