Department of Urology, Shanghai General Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine (originally named "Shanghai First People's Hospital"), Shanghai, China.
Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.
J Endourol. 2021 Jul;35(7):973-978. doi: 10.1089/end.2020.1002. Epub 2020 Dec 23.
To find out a better criterion to identify septic shock patients after flexible ureteroscopic lithotripsy (FUL). In total, 2364 patients who underwent the FUL procedure were enrolled in the study. The demographics and preoperative results of laboratory tests of the patients were collected. The postoperative white blood cell (WBC), systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS), and quick sequential (sepsis-related) organ failure assessment score (qSOFA) were assessed 2 hours after FUL. The predictive efficacy was measured by sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive value, and area under the receiver's operating characteristic curve (AUROC). A total of 15 (0.63%) patients developed septic shock. There were 86 (3.64%) patients who were SIRS positive and 69 (2.92%) patients who were qSOFA positive. The pre- and postoperative WBC ratios in septic shock patients and normal patients were 2.50 ± 1.55 and 0.69 ± 0.24, respectively ( < 0.001). For sensitivity and negative predictive value, all reached 100%. For specificity, qSOFA was 97.70%, SIRS was 96.98%, and SIRS combining pre- and postoperative WBC ratio (the new criterion) was 99.79%. The new criterion had statistically significant higher specificity than SIRS or qSOFA ( < 0.001 for both), but when comparing SIRS and qSOFA, it had statistically insignificant specificity ( = 0.142). For positive predictive value, qSOFA was 21.73%, SIRS was 17.44%, and the new criterion was 75%. qSOFA and SIRS had similar AUROC (0.989 for qSOFA and 0.985 for SIRS), both lower than the new criterion (AUROC: 0.999). SIRS combined with pre- and postoperative WBC ratio has a much better specificity and positive predictive value than SIRS or qSOFA alone. It has 99.79% specificity and 75% positive predictive value, and as high as 100% sensitivity and negative predictive value.
为了找到一种更好的标准来识别接受软性输尿管镜碎石术(FUL)后的脓毒症休克患者。共有 2364 名接受 FUL 手术的患者纳入研究。收集了患者的人口统计学和术前实验室检查结果。术后 2 小时评估白细胞(WBC)、全身炎症反应综合征(SIRS)和快速序贯(与脓毒症相关)器官衰竭评估评分(qSOFA)。通过敏感性、特异性、阳性和阴性预测值以及受试者工作特征曲线(ROC)下面积(AUROC)来衡量预测效果。共有 15 名(0.63%)患者发生脓毒性休克。有 86 名(3.64%)患者 SIRS 阳性,69 名(2.92%)患者 qSOFA 阳性。脓毒性休克患者和正常患者的术前和术后 WBC 比值分别为 2.50±1.55 和 0.69±0.24( < 0.001)。对于敏感性和阴性预测值,均达到 100%。对于特异性,qSOFA 为 97.70%,SIRS 为 96.98%,SIRS 联合术前和术后 WBC 比值(新标准)为 99.79%。新标准的特异性明显高于 SIRS 或 qSOFA(两者均 < 0.001),但 SIRS 和 qSOFA 之间比较时,特异性无统计学意义( = 0.142)。对于阳性预测值,qSOFA 为 21.73%,SIRS 为 17.44%,新标准为 75%。qSOFA 和 SIRS 的 AUROC 相似(qSOFA 为 0.989,SIRS 为 0.985),均低于新标准(AUROC:0.999)。SIRS 联合术前和术后 WBC 比值的特异性和阳性预测值均明显优于单独的 SIRS 或 qSOFA。它具有 99.79%的特异性和 75%的阳性预测值,以及高达 100%的敏感性和阴性预测值。