EPI@LUND (Epidemiology, Population Studies and Infrastructures at Lund University), Lund University, Lund, Sweden.
Centre for Economic Demography, Lund University, Lund, Sweden.
Int J Epidemiol. 2021 May 17;50(2):613-619. doi: 10.1093/ije/dyaa211.
Directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) are of great help when researchers try to understand the nature of causal relationships and the consequences of conditioning on different variables. One fundamental feature of causal relations that has not been incorporated into the standard DAG framework is interaction, i.e. when the effect of one variable (on a chosen scale) depends on the value that another variable is set to. In this paper, we propose a new type of DAG-the interaction DAG (IDAG), which can be used to understand this phenomenon.
The IDAG works like any DAG but instead of including a node for the outcome, it includes a node for a causal effect. We introduce concepts such as confounded interaction and total, direct and indirect interaction, showing that these can be depicted in ways analogous to how similar concepts are depicted in standard DAGs. This also allows for conclusions on which treatment interactions to account for empirically. Moreover, since generalizability can be compromised in the presence of underlying interactions, the framework can be used to illustrate threats to generalizability and to identify variables to account for in order to make results valid for the target population.
The IDAG allows for a both intuitive and stringent way of illustrating interactions. It helps to distinguish between causal and non-causal mechanisms behind effect variation. Conclusions about how to empirically estimate interactions can be drawn-as well as conclusions about how to achieve generalizability in contexts where interest lies in estimating an overall effect.
有向无环图(DAG)在研究人员试图理解因果关系的本质以及在不同变量上进行条件处理的后果时非常有帮助。因果关系的一个基本特征尚未纳入标准 DAG 框架,即交互作用,即当一个变量(在选定的尺度上)的效果取决于另一个变量设定的值。在本文中,我们提出了一种新的 DAG——交互 DAG(IDAG),可用于理解这种现象。
IDAG 的工作方式与任何 DAG 相同,但它不包括结果节点,而是包括因果效应节点。我们引入了混杂交互和总、直接和间接交互等概念,表明这些可以以类似于标准 DAG 中类似概念的方式进行描述。这也允许根据经验确定要考虑的治疗相互作用。此外,由于在存在潜在相互作用的情况下可能会损害可推广性,因此该框架可用于说明对可推广性的威胁,并确定要考虑的变量,以确保结果对目标人群有效。
IDAG 提供了一种直观而严格的方法来说明相互作用。它有助于区分影响变化背后的因果和非因果机制。可以得出关于如何在感兴趣的地方估计总体效应的情况下进行交互作用的经验估计的结论,以及关于如何实现可推广性的结论。