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儿童和青少年中实验室确诊 COVID-19 的预测因素。

Predictors of laboratory-positive COVID-19 in children and teenagers.

机构信息

Departamento de Epidemiología, Unidad de Medicina Familiar No. 19, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Colima, Colima, Mexico; Facultad de Medicina, Universidad de Colima, Colima, Colima, Mexico.

Programa de Maestr´ıa en Ciencias Me´dicas, Facultad de Medicina, Universidad de Colima, Colima, Colima, Mexico.

出版信息

Public Health. 2020 Dec;189:153-157. doi: 10.1016/j.puhe.2020.10.012. Epub 2020 Oct 23.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the study was to identify factors predicting laboratory-positive coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in pediatric patients with acute respiratory symptoms.

STUDY DESIGN

We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of a prospective cohort study.

METHODS

Data from 1849 individuals were analyzed. COVID-19 was confirmed (reverse transcription-quantitative polymerase chain reaction) in 15.9% of patients, and factors predicting a positive test result were evaluated through prevalence odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals.

RESULTS

Increasing age, personal history of obesity, and household contact with a case were found to be associated, in the multiple regression model, with increased odds of a positive test result. Young patients residing in areas with higher population sizes, as well as those with severe respiratory symptoms, were less likely to be laboratory confirmed.

CONCLUSIONS

Early identification and isolation of children and teenagers with suggestive symptoms of COVID-19 is important to limit viral spread. We identified several factors predicting the laboratory test result. Our findings are relevant from a public health policy perspective, particularly after the restart of in-person academic activities.

摘要

目的

本研究旨在确定预测急性呼吸道症状的儿科患者实验室阳性 2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)的因素。

研究设计

我们对一项前瞻性队列研究进行了横断面分析。

方法

分析了 1849 人的数据。15.9%的患者经逆转录定量聚合酶链反应(RT-qPCR)确诊 COVID-19,通过患病率优势比及其 95%置信区间评估阳性检测结果的预测因素。

结果

多变量回归模型显示,年龄增长、个人肥胖史和与病例的家庭接触与阳性检测结果的几率增加相关。居住在人口较多地区的年轻患者以及有严重呼吸道症状的患者,实验室确诊的可能性较低。

结论

早期识别和隔离有 COVID-19 疑似症状的儿童和青少年对于限制病毒传播很重要。我们确定了一些预测实验室检测结果的因素。这些发现从公共卫生政策的角度来看是相关的,尤其是在恢复面对面学术活动之后。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c0ac/7584439/dfdc5728de54/gr1_lrg.jpg

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