Muselli Mario, Cofini Vincenza, Desideri Giovambattista, Necozione Stefano
Department of Life, Health and Environmental Science, University of L'Aquila, Viale S. Salvatore, Delta 6 Medicina, 67100, L'Aquila, Italy.
Int J Disaster Risk Reduct. 2021 Feb 1;53:101982. doi: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2020.101982. Epub 2020 Nov 24.
A novel Corona virus (SARS-CoV-2), started in Wuhan China, caused an outbreak of viral pneumonia to subsequently spread throughout the world. Italy has been one of the most affected countries in the world and the increasing number of cases and deaths has created strong emotional reactions in people. This study has aimed at evaluating public attention to this emerging disease through the use of Google Trends. Public attention, measured as the volume of internet search activity, was correlated with Health Communication Strategies and official COVID-19 data. At the moment of the study analysis, Italy was by far the first country in terms of search volume for "coronavirus" and the highest peak of searches was reached on February 23, 2020. We have found that there was a correlation between public attention to coronavirus disease and communications from Public Health policies: we observed spikes in search volumes on the days of Presidential Decree publications. Furthermore, this attention was also correlated with Case Fatality Rate (CFR). Even if CFR data are continuously updated and can be affected by patient histories, the correlation found suggests that the increase in mortality has generated growing interest in the disease and its risk perception. This study shows that tracking searches through Google Trends as a public focus indicator is a useful tool for decision-makers in guiding communication strategies and should as well stimulate a more transparent media and policy making reporting.
一种新型冠状病毒(SARS-CoV-2)起源于中国武汉,引发了病毒性肺炎疫情,随后蔓延至全球。意大利是全球受影响最严重的国家之一,病例和死亡人数的不断增加在民众中引发了强烈的情绪反应。本研究旨在通过谷歌趋势评估公众对这种新兴疾病的关注。以互联网搜索活动量衡量的公众关注度与健康传播策略及官方新冠疫情数据相关。在研究分析时,就“冠状病毒”的搜索量而言,意大利是目前排名第一的国家,搜索量最高峰出现在2020年2月23日。我们发现公众对冠状病毒疾病的关注与公共卫生政策的宣传之间存在关联:我们观察到在总统令发布当天搜索量出现峰值。此外,这种关注还与病死率(CFR)相关。即使病死率数据不断更新且可能受到患者病史的影响,但所发现的相关性表明死亡率的上升引发了人们对该疾病及其风险认知的日益浓厚兴趣。本研究表明,通过谷歌趋势追踪搜索作为公众关注指标,对决策者指导传播策略是一个有用的工具,同时也应促使媒体和政策制定报告更加透明。