Laboratory of Veterinary Epidemiology, Department of Preventive Veterinary Medicine, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul, Porto Alegre, Brazil.
Department of Statistics, Institute of Mathematics and Statistics, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul, Porto Alegre, Brazil.
Int J Food Microbiol. 2021 Jan 2;338:108992. doi: 10.1016/j.ijfoodmicro.2020.108992. Epub 2020 Nov 27.
Salmonella spp. remains the most significant foodborne pathogen in south Brazil, but its epidemiology tends to change over time. Using official and surrogate data, a microbial subtyping model attributed different Salmonella serovars to laying hens, pigs, broilers, and turkeys from 2005 to 2015 in Rio Grande do Sul (RS). Additional to the subtyping model, three sub-analyses of outbreak data attributed Salmonella spp. in humans to animal and non-animal food. Laying hens/eggs was the most important source of human salmonellosis in RS, with almost 40% (159 cases; 95% credibility interval, 43-247) attribution proportion, followed by pigs reared in Santa Catarina, a neighbor state (34.5%). The Salmonella serovars Enteritidis and Typhimurium were the most common serovars involved. Source-related parameters had wide credibility intervals but showed a higher risk of illness from contaminated eggs than from the other three animal-food sources. Analysis of the outbreak data corroborated the findings and indicated signs of decreasing importance for eggs and increasing importance for pork consumption.
在巴西南部,沙门氏菌仍然是最重要的食源性病原体,但随着时间的推移,其流行病学特征往往会发生变化。利用官方和替代数据,对 2005 年至 2015 年巴西南部南里奥格兰德州(RS)的蛋鸡、猪、肉鸡和火鸡中的不同沙门氏菌血清型进行微生物亚型模型分析。除了亚型模型,对暴发数据的三个子分析将人类感染的沙门氏菌归因于动物和非动物食品。在 RS,蛋鸡/鸡蛋是人类沙门氏菌病最重要的来源,归因比例接近 40%(159 例;95%置信区间,43-247),其次是来自邻州圣卡塔琳娜州(Santa Catarina)的养殖猪(34.5%)。肠侵袭性大肠杆菌(Enteritidis)和肠炎沙门氏菌(Typhimurium)是最常见的血清型。与来源相关的参数置信区间较宽,但与其他三种动物源性食品相比,污染鸡蛋导致疾病的风险更高。暴发数据分析结果证实了这一发现,并表明鸡蛋的重要性呈下降趋势,而猪肉的重要性呈上升趋势。