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实验室间比对的统计与前瞻性分析:都灵裹尸布的放射性碳年代测定

Statistical and Proactive Analysis of an Inter-Laboratory Comparison: The Radiocarbon Dating of the Shroud of Turin.

作者信息

Di Lazzaro Paolo, Atkinson Anthony C, Iacomussi Paola, Riani Marco, Ricci Marco, Wadhams Peter

机构信息

Italian National Agency for New Technologies, Energy and Sustainable Economic Development (ENEA), Dipartimento FSN, Centro Ricerche Frascati, via E. Fermi 45, 00044 Frascati, Italy.

Department of Statistics, London School of Economics, London WC2A 2AE, UK.

出版信息

Entropy (Basel). 2020 Aug 24;22(9):926. doi: 10.3390/e22090926.

Abstract

We review the sampling and results of the radiocarbon dating of the archaeological cloth known as the Shroud of Turin, in the light of recent statistical analyses of both published and raw data. The statistical analyses highlight an inter-laboratory heterogeneity of the means and a monotone spatial variation of the ages of subsamples that suggest the presence of contaminants unevenly removed by the cleaning pretreatments. We consider the significance and overall impact of the statistical analyses on assessing the reliability of the dating results and the design of correct sampling. These analyses suggest that the 1988 radiocarbon dating does not match the current accuracy requirements. Should this be the case, it would be interesting to know the accurate age of the Shroud of Turin. Taking into account the whole body of scientific data, we discuss whether it makes sense to date the Shroud again.

摘要

我们根据对已发表数据和原始数据的最新统计分析,回顾了被称为都灵裹尸布的考古布料的放射性碳测年采样及结果。统计分析突出了各实验室之间均值的异质性以及子样本年龄的单调空间变化,这表明清洗预处理未能均匀去除污染物。我们考虑了统计分析对于评估测年结果可靠性和正确采样设计的意义及总体影响。这些分析表明,1988年的放射性碳测年不符合当前的精度要求。倘若如此,了解都灵裹尸布的准确年代将会很有意思。考虑到所有科学数据,我们讨论了再次对裹尸布进行测年是否有意义。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/481a/7597180/b6fd565794d7/entropy-22-00926-g001.jpg

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