Zhu Ce, Wang Xiang, Yang Xinxin, Sun Jing, Pan Bujian, Zhang Weiteng, Chen Xiaodong, Shen Xian
Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital, Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang Province, People's Republic of China.
Cancer Manag Res. 2020 Dec 1;12:12363-12374. doi: 10.2147/CMAR.S285212. eCollection 2020.
The relationship between liver function and colorectal cancer without liver metastases has not been explored. Therefore, we investigated whether the preoperative albumin-bilirubin grade could predict the prognosis of patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) undergoing radical resection, and we designed a quantifiable predictive model.
We retrospectively analyzed data from 284 patients with CRC who underwent radical resection in the Second Affiliated Hospital of the Wenzhou Medical University between January 2011 and January 2016. Patients were divided in two groups according to the calculated cut-off: the high albumin-bilirubin (>-2.48) grade and low albumin-bilirubin (≤-2.48) grade group. Kaplan-Meier curves were constructed to compare the overall survival (OS) between the two groups. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify the independent risk factors for postoperative complications and OS.
Patients with a high albumin-bilirubin grade (n = 165, 58.1%) had a higher rate of postoperative complications (38.2% versus 17.6%, P < 0.001), especially medical (19.4% versus 6.7%, P = 0.002) and severe complications (1.7% versus 7.3%, P = 0.032). They also had a shorter OS (mean survival time, 47.6 versus 54.3 months, P = 0.005), especially patients with tumor-node-metastasis stage III (42.7 months versus 51.6 months, P = 0.036). Age ≥ 70 years (odds ratio [OR] = 2.22, P = 0.003) and high albumin-bilirubin grade (OR = 2.71, P = 0.001) were independent risk factors for postoperative complications, while age ≥ 70 years (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.65, P < 0.001), high albumin-bilirubin grade (HR = 1.81, P = 0.033), tumor-node-metastasis stage II (HR = 13.83, P = 0.010) and III (HR = 23.66, P = 0.002) were independent risk factors of OS.
Preoperative albumin-bilirubin grade could predict postoperative complications (especially medical and severe complications) and OS in patients with CRC, especially in those with tumor-node-metastasis stage III.
尚未探究肝功能与无肝转移结直肠癌之间的关系。因此,我们研究了术前白蛋白-胆红素分级是否可预测接受根治性切除的结直肠癌(CRC)患者的预后,并设计了一种可量化的预测模型。
我们回顾性分析了2011年1月至2016年1月在温州医科大学附属第二医院接受根治性切除的284例CRC患者的数据。根据计算出的临界值将患者分为两组:高白蛋白-胆红素(>-2.48)分级组和低白蛋白-胆红素(≤-2.48)分级组。构建Kaplan-Meier曲线以比较两组之间的总生存期(OS)。进行单因素和多因素分析以确定术后并发症和OS的独立危险因素。
高白蛋白-胆红素分级的患者(n = 165,58.1%)术后并发症发生率较高(38.2% 对17.6%,P < 0.001),尤其是内科并发症(19.4% 对6.7%,P = 0.002)和严重并发症(1.7% 对7.3%,P = 0.032)。他们的OS也较短(平均生存时间,47.6个月对54.3个月,P = 0.005),尤其是肿瘤-淋巴结-转移分期为III期的患者(42.7个月对51.6个月,P = 0.036)。年龄≥70岁(比值比[OR]=2.22,P = 0.003)和高白蛋白-胆红素分级(OR = 2.71,P = 0.001)是术后并发症的独立危险因素,而年龄≥70岁(风险比[HR]=2.65,P < 0.001)、高白蛋白-胆红素分级(HR = 1.81,P = 0.033)、肿瘤-淋巴结-转移分期II期(HR = 13.83,P = 0.010)和III期(HR = 23.66,P = 0.002)是OS的独立危险因素。
术前白蛋白-胆红素分级可预测CRC患者的术后并发症(尤其是内科和严重并发症)及OS,尤其是肿瘤-淋巴结-转移分期为III期的患者。