Nature. 2021 Jan;589(7842):415-419. doi: 10.1038/s41586-020-03043-4. Epub 2020 Dec 16.
The safe, highly effective measles vaccine has been recommended globally since 1974, yet in 2017 there were more than 17 million cases of measles and 83,400 deaths in children under 5 years old, and more than 99% of both occurred in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Globally comparable, annual, local estimates of routine first-dose measles-containing vaccine (MCV1) coverage are critical for understanding geographically precise immunity patterns, progress towards the targets of the Global Vaccine Action Plan (GVAP), and high-risk areas amid disruptions to vaccination programmes caused by coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Here we generated annual estimates of routine childhood MCV1 coverage at 5 × 5-km pixel and second administrative levels from 2000 to 2019 in 101 LMICs, quantified geographical inequality and assessed vaccination status by geographical remoteness. After widespread MCV1 gains from 2000 to 2010, coverage regressed in more than half of the districts between 2010 and 2019, leaving many LMICs far from the GVAP goal of 80% coverage in all districts by 2019. MCV1 coverage was lower in rural than in urban locations, although a larger proportion of unvaccinated children overall lived in urban locations; strategies to provide essential vaccination services should address both geographical contexts. These results provide a tool for decision-makers to strengthen routine MCV1 immunization programmes and provide equitable disease protection for all children.
自 1974 年以来,全球范围内一直推荐使用安全、高效的麻疹疫苗,但 2017 年仍有超过 1700 万例麻疹病例和 83400 例 5 岁以下儿童死亡,且这两个数字 99%以上都发生在中低收入国家。全球可比的、年度的、常规的首剂含麻疹疫苗(MCV1)覆盖率的本地估计对于了解地理位置上精确的免疫模式、实现全球疫苗行动计划(GVAP)目标的进展情况以及在因 2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)而中断疫苗接种计划的高风险地区至关重要。在这里,我们针对 101 个中低收入国家,在 5×5 公里像素和第二行政级别上,生成了 2000 年至 2019 年常规儿童 MCV1 覆盖率的年度估计值,量化了地理不平等现象,并评估了地理偏远地区的接种状况。在 2000 年至 2010 年期间广泛获得 MCV1 收益之后,2010 年至 2019 年期间,超过一半的地区的覆盖率出现了倒退,这使得许多中低收入国家远未达到 GVAP 在 2019 年之前在所有地区实现 80%覆盖率的目标。与城市地区相比,农村地区的 MCV1 覆盖率较低,尽管整体而言,未接种疫苗的儿童中有更大比例生活在城市地区;为提供基本疫苗接种服务而制定的战略应同时考虑到这两种地理环境。这些结果为决策者提供了一种工具,以加强常规 MCV1 免疫计划,并为所有儿童提供公平的疾病保护。