Nancy Krieger, Jarvis T. Chen, Pamela D. Waterman, Emily Wright, and Tamara Rushovich are with the Department of Social and Behavioral Sciences, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA. Rachel C. Nethery is with the Department of Biostatistics, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health. Brent A. Coull is with the Department of Biostatistics and Department of Environmental Health, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health.
Am J Public Health. 2021 Feb;111(2):265-268. doi: 10.2105/AJPH.2020.305989. Epub 2020 Dec 22.
To investigate how census tract (CT) estimates of mortality rates and inequities are affected by (1) differential privacy (DP), whereby the public decennial census (DC) data are injected with statistical "noise" to protect individual privacy, and (2) uncertainty arising from the small number of different persons surveyed each year in a given CT for the American Community Survey (ACS). We compared estimates of the 2008-2012 average annual premature mortality rate (death before age 65 years) in Massachusetts using CT data from the 2010 DC, 2010 DC with DP, and 2008-2012 ACS 5-year estimate data. For these 3 denominator sources, the age-standardized premature mortality rates (per 100 000) for the total population respectively equaled 166.4 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 162.2, 170.6), 166.4 (95% CI = 162.2, 170.6), and 166.3 (95% CI = 162.1, 170.5), and inequities in the range from best to worst quintile for CT racialized economic segregation were from 103.4 to 260.1, 102.9 to 258.7, and 102.8 to 262.4. Similarity of results across CT denominator sources held for analyses stratified by gender and race/ethnicity. Estimates of health inequities at the CT level may not be affected by use of 2020 DP data and uncertainty in the ACS data.
为了调查普查区(CT)死亡率和不平等的估计值如何受到以下因素的影响:(1)差异隐私(DP),通过向公共十年一次的普查(DC)数据中注入统计“噪声”来保护个人隐私,以及(2)由于每年在给定 CT 中调查的不同人数较少而导致的不确定性,这是为了进行美国社区调查(ACS)。我们比较了使用 2010 年 DC、2010 年 DC 加 DP 和 2008-2012 年 ACS 5 年估计数据的马萨诸塞州 2008-2012 年平均每年过早死亡率(65 岁以下死亡)的 CT 数据估计值。对于这 3 个分母来源,总人口的年龄标准化过早死亡率(每 10 万人)分别为 166.4(95%置信区间[CI] = 162.2,170.6)、166.4(95% CI = 162.2,170.6)和 166.3(95% CI = 162.1,170.5),CT 种族经济隔离程度从最好到最差五分位数的不平等程度为 103.4 到 260.1、102.9 到 258.7 和 102.8 到 262.4。对于按性别和种族/族裔分层的分析,结果在 CT 分母来源之间具有相似性。在 CT 级别上估计健康不平等状况可能不会受到使用 2020 年 DP 数据和 ACS 数据不确定性的影响。