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全面防御韧性:在新冠疫情期间可行吗?挪威与英国的比较研究

Total Defence Resilience: Viable or Not During COVID-19? A Comparative Study of Norway and the UK.

作者信息

Pollock Kevin, Steen Riana

出版信息

Risk Hazards Crisis Public Policy. 2021 Mar;12(1):73-109. doi: 10.1002/rhc3.12207. Epub 2020 Dec 3.

Abstract

The total defence (TD) concept aims to provide an effective crisis response structure by increasing society resilience. However, the complexity of its structure regarding resource mobilization and management process highlights the need for a complexity-oriented approach in the operationalising of TD. We study the application of TD during the COVID-19 crisis and explore what makes the TD a viable system with resilience capabilities in the face the crisis. We apply the Viable Systems Model as a methodology to compare the viability of the United Kingdom and Norwegian TD systems, both of which use systems networks to achieve resilience, and contrast the different outcomes of each country. Our analysis highlights that: Managing the complexity of the TDS requires that all of the involved agencies proactively adopt a transparent approach to a joint decision making. This demands a wide range of sources of innovative solutions at different levels. Joint exercises, developed by the responsible agencies, enhance mutual understating of roles and responsibilities and crisis response structure. This calls for institutionalized support to dedicate resources. To avoid communications challenges, involved agencies in the TDS need to adopt an open messaging strategy, highlighting how to deal with uncertainties in communicating of decisions and action.

摘要

全面防御(TD)概念旨在通过增强社会复原力来提供有效的危机应对架构。然而,其在资源调动和管理过程方面结构的复杂性凸显了在全面防御实施过程中采用面向复杂性方法的必要性。我们研究了全面防御在新冠疫情危机期间的应用,并探讨了是什么使全面防御成为面对危机时具有复原力的可行系统。我们运用可行系统模型作为一种方法来比较英国和挪威全面防御系统的可行性,这两个系统都利用系统网络来实现复原力,并对比每个国家的不同结果。我们的分析强调:管理全面防御系统的复杂性要求所有相关机构积极采取透明的联合决策方法。这需要在不同层面有广泛的创新解决方案来源。由负责机构开展的联合演习可增强对角色和职责以及危机应对架构的相互理解。这需要制度化支持来调配资源。为避免沟通挑战,全面防御系统中的相关机构需要采用开放的信息传递策略,突出在决策和行动沟通中如何应对不确定性。

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本文引用的文献

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Hiding in Plain Sight: Conceptualizing the Creeping Crisis.隐身危机:对渐进式危机的概念化
Risk Hazards Crisis Public Policy. 2020 Jun;11(2):116-138. doi: 10.1002/rhc3.12193. Epub 2020 Apr 12.

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