Program in Public Health, University of California, Irvine, California, United States of America.
PLoS One. 2020 Dec 29;15(12):e0244447. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0244447. eCollection 2020.
Rapidly increasing pyrethroid insecticide resistance and changes in vector biting and resting behavior pose serious challenges in malaria control. Mosquito repellents, especially spatial repellents, have received much attention from industry. We attempted to simulate interactions between mosquitoes and repellents using a machine learning method, the Self-Propelled Particle (SPP) model, which we modified to include attractiveness/repellency effects. We simulated a random walk scenario and scenarios with insecticide susceptible/resistant mosquitoes against repellent alone and against repellent plus attractant (to mimic a human host). Simulation results indicated that without attractant/repellent, mosquitoes would fly anywhere in the cage at random. With attractant, all mosquitoes were attracted to the source of the odor by the end. With repellent, all insecticide-susceptible mosquitoes eventually moved to the corner of the cage farthest from the repellent release point, whereas, a high proportion of highly resistant mosquitoes might reach the attractant release point (the human) earlier in the simulation. At fixed concentration, a high proportion of mosquitoes could be able to reach the host when the relative repellency efficacy (compare to attractant efficacy) was <1, whereas, no mosquitoes reached the host when the relative repellency efficacy was > 1. This result implies that repellent may not be sufficient against highly physiologically insecticide resistant mosquitoes, since very high concentrations of repellent are neither practically feasible nor cost-effective.
拟除虫菊酯杀虫剂抗性的迅速增加以及病媒昆虫叮咬和栖息行为的变化,给疟疾防控带来了严峻挑战。驱蚊剂,特别是空间驱避剂,引起了业界的广泛关注。我们尝试使用机器学习方法,即自推进粒子(SPP)模型,模拟蚊虫与驱避剂之间的相互作用,我们对该模型进行了修改,以纳入吸引力/驱避力效应。我们模拟了随机游走情景以及对敏感/抗性蚊虫单独使用驱避剂以及同时使用驱避剂和引诱剂(模拟人类宿主)的情景。模拟结果表明,没有引诱剂/驱避剂时,蚊虫会在笼子里随机飞向任何地方。有引诱剂时,所有蚊虫最终都会被气味源吸引。有驱避剂时,所有敏感型蚊虫最终都会移动到离驱避剂释放点最远的笼子角落,而高比例的高度抗性蚊虫可能会在模拟的早期更早地到达引诱剂释放点(人类)。在固定浓度下,当相对驱避效力(与吸引力效力相比)<1 时,很大比例的蚊虫可以到达宿主,而当相对驱避效力>1 时,没有蚊虫到达宿主。这一结果表明,对于具有高度生理抗性的蚊虫,驱避剂可能不足以应对,因为高浓度的驱避剂既不实际可行,也不具有成本效益。