术前淋巴细胞与单核细胞比值对根治性膀胱切除术后膀胱癌患者生存结局的预测价值。

Predictive value of preoperative lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio on survival outcomes in bladder cancer patients after radical cystectomy.

作者信息

Bi Hai, Yan Ye, Wang Dong, Qin Zijian, Wang Guoliang, Ma Lulin, Huang Yi, Lu Jian

机构信息

Department of Urology, Peking University Third Hospital, 49 North Garden Road, Haidian District, Beijing 100191, PR China.

Department of Urology, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing 100021, PR China.

出版信息

J Cancer. 2021 Jan 1;12(2):305-315. doi: 10.7150/jca.50603. eCollection 2021.

Abstract

To determine the prognostic significance of the pre-operative lymphocyte-to-monocyte (LMR) in patients with bladder cancer (BCa) who underwent radical cystectomy (RC), and to assess its prognostic benefit compared to models relying solely on clinicopathological factors. A retrospective analysis of the 342 BCa patients undergoing RC at our institution from 2004 to 2017 was conducted to assess LMR prognostic significance. Overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were assessed using the Kaplan-Meier method. Cox regression models identified risk factors for survival outcomes. Two new models were developed based on basal models to predict OS and CSS at 1, 3, and 5 years after RC. The accuracy of the new models was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic curves as well as the concordance index. We also conducted decision curve analysis (DCA) to assess their net benefit. An association between excellent long-term patient survival outcomes and higher LMR levels was observed. The median OS and CSS for higher LMR level in patients was 98.8 months and >120 months, respectively. Cox regression multivariate analysis showed that pre-operative LMR, as a continuous variable, was an independent survival outcome predictor (<0.001). The utilization of LMR in the standard model resulted in significant discriminatory improvement in OS (5.6%, <0.001) and CSS (4.9%, =0.001) prediction. Moreover, as shown in DCA, utilization of the new model, including LMR, resulted in a net benefit compared to base models for predicting OS and CSS at 1, 3, and 5 years. An independent association was observed between higher pre-operative LMR in BCa patients undergoing RC and significantly better OS and CSS. In addition, a significant improvement in predictive accuracy was observed with LMR inclusion in multiparametric prediction tools. Therefore, LMR may be utilized in pre-operative patient risk stratification to assist in patient counseling and clinical decision making.

摘要

为了确定接受根治性膀胱切除术(RC)的膀胱癌(BCa)患者术前淋巴细胞与单核细胞比值(LMR)的预后意义,并评估其与仅依赖临床病理因素的模型相比的预后益处。对2004年至2017年在本机构接受RC的342例BCa患者进行回顾性分析,以评估LMR的预后意义。采用Kaplan-Meier法评估总生存期(OS)和癌症特异性生存期(CSS)。Cox回归模型确定生存结局的危险因素。基于基础模型开发了两个新模型,以预测RC后1年、3年和5年的OS和CSS。使用受试者工作特征曲线以及一致性指数评估新模型的准确性。我们还进行了决策曲线分析(DCA)以评估其净效益。观察到长期患者生存结局良好与较高的LMR水平之间存在关联。LMR水平较高患者的中位OS和CSS分别为98.8个月和>120个月。Cox回归多因素分析表明,术前LMR作为连续变量是独立的生存结局预测因子(<0.001)。在标准模型中使用LMR导致OS(5.6%,<0.001)和CSS(4.9%,=0.001)预测的辨别力显著提高。此外,如DCA所示,与基础模型相比,包含LMR的新模型在预测1年、3年和5年的OS和CSS时产生了净效益。在接受RC的BCa患者中,观察到术前LMR较高与显著更好的OS和CSS之间存在独立关联。此外,在多参数预测工具中纳入LMR后,预测准确性有显著提高。因此,LMR可用于术前患者风险分层,以协助患者咨询和临床决策。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8b11/7738993/a53f618cb33c/jcav12p0305g001.jpg

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