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中国湖北省梁子湖流域社会生态系统可持续发展的“安全公正运行空间”

["Safe and just operating space" for the sustainable development of the social-ecological system in the Liangzi Lake Catchment, Hubei Province, China.].

作者信息

Su Yan-Yu, Li Yan, Dong Xu-Hui

机构信息

School of Geographical Sciences and Remote Sensing, Guangzhou University, Guangzhou 510006, China.

Centre for Climate and Environmental Changes, Guangzhou University, Guangzhou 510006, China.

出版信息

Ying Yong Sheng Tai Xue Bao. 2020 Dec;31(12):4206-4214. doi: 10.13287/j.1001-9332.202012.011.

DOI:10.13287/j.1001-9332.202012.011
PMID:33393259
Abstract

The increases of human activities threaten the health of the earth's ecosystem, and pre-sent a big challenge to regional sustainable development and environment conservation. How to maintain a safe ecological environment together with social and economic development is an important issue for sustainable development. Under the theoretical framework of "safe and just operating space", we integrated lake sediment records, environmental monitoring data, and socio-economic data in Liangzi Lake Catchment, analyzed the status of key eco-environmental processes and achievement degree (the completion of the current value of social basic indicators relative to the target value) of residents' social welfare, and constructed a "safe and just operating space" for the sustainability of local social-ecological system. The results showed that the indicators including freshwater utilization, cultivated land resources, air quality, soil and sediment regulation, and chemical pollution in the catchment had exceeded the environmental ceiling and were at the "dangerous" level, which should be regulated in the future. As for the social welfare, the achievement degree of clean water, sanitation facility, and industrial innovation were relatively low. The per capita GDP was negatively correlated with soil and water conservation and air quality, indicating the negative effects of social and economic development on water, soil, and air. With multi-source environmental data, especially long-term limnological records, we effectively reconstructed the historical environmental change process, revealed the deficiency of environment and residential well-being in local social ecosystem management, which would provide important insights for regional sustainable development.

摘要

人类活动的增加威胁着地球生态系统的健康,给区域可持续发展和环境保护带来了巨大挑战。如何在社会经济发展的同时维持安全的生态环境是可持续发展的一个重要问题。在“安全公正的运行空间”理论框架下,我们整合了梁子湖流域的湖泊沉积物记录、环境监测数据和社会经济数据,分析了关键生态环境过程的现状以及居民社会福利的达成度(当前社会基本指标值相对于目标值的完成情况),并构建了当地社会生态系统可持续性的“安全公正的运行空间”。结果表明,该流域包括淡水利用、耕地资源、空气质量、土壤与沉积物调节以及化学污染等指标已超过环境上限,处于“危险”水平,未来应加以调控。至于社会福利,清洁水、卫生设施和产业创新的达成度相对较低。人均国内生产总值与水土保持和空气质量呈负相关,表明社会经济发展对水、土壤和空气产生了负面影响。通过多源环境数据,尤其是长期的湖泊学记录,我们有效地重建了历史环境变化过程,揭示了当地社会生态系统管理中环境和居民福祉方面的不足,这将为区域可持续发展提供重要见解。

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