School of Environmental and Forest Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195;
NSF Graduate Research Internship Program, Northwest Fisheries Science Center, National Marine Fisheries Service, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Seattle, WA 98112.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2021 Jan 12;118(2). doi: 10.1073/pnas.2014379117.
Climate shocks can reorganize the social-ecological linkages in food-producing communities, leading to a sudden loss of key products in food systems. The extent and persistence of this reorganization are difficult to observe and summarize, but are critical aspects of predicting and rapidly assessing community vulnerability to extreme events. We apply network analysis to evaluate the impact of a climate shock-an unprecedented marine heatwave-on patterns of resource use in California fishing communities, which were severely affected through closures of the Dungeness crab fishery. The climate shock significantly modified flows of users between fishery resources during the closures. These modifications were predicted by pre-shock patterns of resource use and were associated with three strategies used by fishing community member vessels to respond to the closures: temporary exit from the food system, spillover of effort from the Dungeness crab fishery into other fisheries, and spatial shifts in where crab were landed. Regional differences in resource use patterns and vessel-level responses highlighted the Dungeness crab fishery as a seasonal "gilded trap" for northern California fishing communities. We also detected disparities in climate shock response based on vessel size, with larger vessels more likely to display spatial mobility. Our study demonstrates the importance of highly connected and decentralized networks of resource use in reducing the vulnerability of human communities to climate shocks.
气候冲击会重新组织粮食生产社区的社会生态联系,导致粮食系统中关键产品的突然丧失。这种重组的程度和持续时间很难观察和总结,但却是预测和快速评估社区对极端事件脆弱性的关键方面。我们应用网络分析来评估气候冲击(一次前所未有的海洋热浪)对加利福尼亚渔业社区资源利用模式的影响,该冲击通过关闭邓杰内斯蟹渔业对这些社区造成了严重影响。气候冲击在关闭期间显著改变了用户在渔业资源之间的流动。这些变化是由资源利用的冲击前模式预测的,并与渔业社区成员船只为应对关闭而采用的三种策略有关:暂时退出食物系统、将邓杰内斯蟹渔业的捕捞努力转移到其他渔业、以及螃蟹上岸地点的空间转移。资源利用模式和船只层面响应的区域差异突出表明,邓杰内斯蟹渔业对加利福尼亚北部渔业社区来说是一个季节性的“镀金陷阱”。我们还根据船只大小检测到了气候冲击响应的差异,较大的船只更有可能表现出空间流动性。我们的研究表明,高度连接和分散的资源利用网络对于降低人类社区对气候冲击的脆弱性具有重要意义。