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利用拉普拉斯回归分析血液透析患者生存百分位及其生存差异的预测因素和相加交互作用。

Survival Percentile and Predictors of Difference in Survival among Hemodialysis Patients and Their Additive Interaction Using Laplace Regression.

机构信息

Research Center for Health Sciences, Hamadan University of Medical Sciences, Hamadan, Iran.

Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.

出版信息

J Res Health Sci. 2020 Nov 14;20(4):e00498. doi: 10.34172/jrhs.2020.32.

DOI:10.34172/jrhs.2020.32
PMID:33424007
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8695789/
Abstract

BACKGROUND

Identifying survival modifiable factors and additive interaction between them could help in prioritizing the clinical care of Hemodialysis (HD) patients. We aimed to examine the survival rate and its predictors in HD patients; and explore the additive interaction between survival modifiable factors.

STUDY DESIGN

A retrospective cohort study.

METHODS

The present study was performed on 1142 HD patients in Hamadan Province, western Iran from 2007 to 2017. Data were collected through a researcher-made checklist on hospital records. Laplace regression was used to evaluate differences in 40th survival percentiles in different levels of predictors as well as exploring the pairwise additive interactions between variables.

RESULTS

We observed significantly higher survival in nonsmoker patients (40th percentile difference = 5.34 months, 95% CI: 2.06, 8.61). Survival was shorter by more than 3 years in CRP positive patients (40th percentile difference=36.9 months, 95% CI: 32.37, 41.42). Patients with normal albumin (40th percentile difference =24.92, 95% CI: 18.04, 31.80) and hemoglobin (40th percentile difference = 18.65, 95% CI: 12.43, 24.86) had significantly higher survival (P<0.001). There was superadditive interaction between being CRP negative and nonsmoker (β3 = 9.42 months, 95% CI: 3.35, 15.49 (P=0.002)).

CONCLUSION

High CRP and low serum albumin and hemoglobin were associated with the increased risk of death in HD patients. The results of this study support the presence of super-additive interaction between CRP status with serum hemoglobin and also CRP status with smoking, resulting in excess survival in HD patients.

摘要

背景

识别生存可改变因素及其之间的附加交互作用,可以帮助确定血液透析(HD)患者的临床护理重点。我们旨在检查 HD 患者的生存率及其预测因素;并探讨生存可改变因素之间的附加交互作用。

研究设计

回顾性队列研究。

方法

本研究对 2007 年至 2017 年伊朗西部哈马丹省的 1142 名 HD 患者进行了研究。数据通过医院记录的研究者自制检查表收集。使用拉普拉斯回归来评估不同预测因子水平下第 40 个生存百分位数之间的差异,以及探索变量之间的两两附加交互作用。

结果

我们观察到非吸烟者患者的生存率显著提高(第 40 个百分位数差异= 5.34 个月,95%CI:2.06,8.61)。CRP 阳性患者的生存时间缩短了 3 年以上(第 40 个百分位数差异= 36.9 个月,95%CI:32.37,41.42)。白蛋白正常(第 40 个百分位数差异= 24.92,95%CI:18.04,31.80)和血红蛋白正常(第 40 个百分位数差异= 18.65,95%CI:12.43,24.86)的患者的生存率显著提高(P<0.001)。CRP 阴性和不吸烟之间存在超相加交互作用(β3 = 9.42 个月,95%CI:3.35,15.49(P=0.002))。

结论

高 CRP 和低血清白蛋白和血红蛋白与 HD 患者死亡风险增加相关。本研究结果支持 CRP 状态与血清血红蛋白以及 CRP 状态与吸烟之间存在超相加交互作用,导致 HD 患者的生存获益增加。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9078/8695789/4800206b378f/jrhs-20-e00498-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9078/8695789/4800206b378f/jrhs-20-e00498-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9078/8695789/4800206b378f/jrhs-20-e00498-g001.jpg

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本文引用的文献

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J Renin Angiotensin Aldosterone Syst. 2017 Jan;18(1):1470320316667831. doi: 10.1177/1470320316667831.
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Evaluating Additive Interaction Using Survival Percentiles.使用生存百分位数评估相加相互作用。
Epidemiology. 2016 May;27(3):360-4. doi: 10.1097/EDE.0000000000000449.
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First year survival of patients on maintenance dialysis treatment in Poland.
波兰维持性透析治疗患者的第一年生存率。
Nagoya J Med Sci. 2015 Nov;77(4):629-35.
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Low hemoglobin levels and hypo-responsiveness to erythropoiesis-stimulating agent associated with poor survival in incident Japanese hemodialysis patients.血红蛋白水平低以及对促红细胞生成素刺激剂反应低下与日本初诊血液透析患者的生存率低相关。
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Smoking in dialysis patients: a systematic review and meta-analysis of mortality and cardiovascular morbidity.透析患者的吸烟状况:死亡率和心血管发病率的系统评价和荟萃分析。
Am J Kidney Dis. 2011 Aug;58(2):257-65. doi: 10.1053/j.ajkd.2011.03.025. Epub 2011 Jun 12.
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US Renal Data System 2010 Annual Data Report.美国肾脏数据系统2010年年报。
Am J Kidney Dis. 2011 Jan;57(1 Suppl 1):A8, e1-526. doi: 10.1053/j.ajkd.2010.10.007.
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Biom J. 2010 Aug;52(4):487-503. doi: 10.1002/bimj.200900310.
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Survival at 1, 3, and 5 years in diabetic and nondiabetic patients on hemodialysis.糖尿病和非糖尿病血液透析患者的1年、3年和5年生存率。
Iran J Kidney Dis. 2010 Jan;4(1):74-7.
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Hemoglobin level variability: associations with mortality.血红蛋白水平变异性:与死亡率的关联。
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