Agri-Food Economics Division, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, 00153 Rome, Italy;
Faculty of Geo-Information Science and Earth Observation, University of Twente, 7514 AE Enschede, The Netherlands.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2021 Jan 12;118(2). doi: 10.1073/pnas.2011990118.
Using travel time to cities of different sizes, we map populations across an urban-rural continuum to improve on the standard dichotomous representations of urban-rural interactions. We extend existing approaches by 1) building on central place theory to capture the urban hierarchy in access to services and employment opportunities provided by urban centers of different sizes, 2) defining urban-rural catchment areas (URCAs) expressing the interconnection between urban centers and their surrounding rural areas, and 3) adopting a global gridded approach comparable across countries. We find that one-fourth of the global population lives in periurban areas of intermediate and smaller cities and towns, which challenges the centrality of large cities in development. In low-income countries, 64% of the population lives either in small cities and towns or within their catchment areas, which has major implications for access to services and employment opportunities. Intermediate and small cities appear to provide catchment areas for proportionately more people gravitating around them than larger cities. This could indicate that, for countries transitioning to middle income, policies and investments strengthening economic linkages between urban centers and their surrounding rural areas may be as important as investing in urbanization or the rural hinterlands. The dataset provided can support national economic planning and territorial development strategies by enabling policy makers to focus more in depth on urban-rural interactions.
利用前往不同规模城市的旅行时间,我们将人口分布映射到城乡连续统上,以改进城乡互动的标准二分法表示。我们通过以下方式扩展了现有方法:1)利用中心地理论来捕捉不同规模城市中心提供的服务和就业机会的可达性的城市层级;2)定义城乡集水区(URCA),表达城市中心与其周围农村地区之间的相互连接;3)采用全球网格化方法,在各国之间具有可比性。我们发现,全球四分之一的人口居住在中等和较小城市的城郊地区,这挑战了大城市在发展中的中心地位。在低收入国家,64%的人口要么居住在小城市和城镇,要么居住在其集水区内,这对获得服务和就业机会有重大影响。中等和小城市似乎为围绕它们的人口提供了比例更高的集水区,而较大城市则没有。这可能表明,对于正在向中等收入过渡的国家,加强城市中心与其周围农村地区之间经济联系的政策和投资,可能与投资城市化或农村腹地一样重要。提供的数据集可以通过使政策制定者更深入地关注城乡互动,为国家经济规划和领土发展战略提供支持。