Taylor Zack, Lucas Jack, Armstrong David A, Bakker Ryan
University of Western Ontario, London, ON, Canada.
University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada.
Comp Polit Stud. 2024 Jul;57(8):1339-1374. doi: 10.1177/00104140231194060. Epub 2023 Aug 4.
We provide a mixed-methods, comparative analysis of the development of the urban-rural electoral cleavage in Canada, Great Britain, and the United States from the early 20th century to the present. Using aggregate election results, electoral district boundary files, and electoral district population measures, we construct a new comparable dataset of district election results and urbanity for the lower house of the legislature in each country. We use this dataset to measure the importance of the urban-rural divide for election outcomes across countries and time. We find that the cleavage has widened over time in each country, each arrived at its current urban-rural divide via a distinct developmental trajectory, which we interpret with reference to secondary literature. We conclude by discussing the significance of our findings for theories of both the causes and consequences of urban-rural divides and discuss the implications of our work for the comparative study of urban-rural cleavages.
我们对20世纪初至今加拿大、英国和美国城乡选举分歧的发展进行了混合方法的比较分析。利用总体选举结果、选区边界文件和选区人口数据,我们构建了一个新的可比数据集,涵盖每个国家立法机构下议院的选区选举结果和城市化程度。我们使用这个数据集来衡量城乡差距在不同国家和不同时期对选举结果的重要性。我们发现,每个国家的这种分歧都随着时间的推移而扩大,每个国家都通过独特的发展轨迹形成了当前的城乡分歧,我们将参考二手文献对此进行解读。最后,我们讨论了研究结果对于城乡分歧成因和后果理论的意义,并探讨了我们的工作对城乡分歧比较研究的影响。