Marine and Environmental Sciences Centre (MARE), Laboratório Marítimo da Guia, Faculdade de Ciências, Universidade de Lisboa, Cascais, Portugal.
Department of Collective Behaviour, Max Planck Institute of Animal Behavior, University of Konstanz, Konstanz, Germany.
Nat Ecol Evol. 2021 Mar;5(3):311-321. doi: 10.1038/s41559-020-01370-3. Epub 2021 Jan 11.
Over the past decades, three major challenges to marine life have emerged as a consequence of anthropogenic emissions: ocean warming, acidification and oxygen loss. While most experimental research has targeted the first two stressors, the last remains comparatively neglected. Here, we implemented sequential hierarchical mixed-model meta-analyses (721 control-treatment comparisons) to compare the impacts of oxygen conditions associated with the current and continuously intensifying hypoxic events (1-3.5 O mg l) with those experimentally yielded by ocean warming (+4 °C) and acidification (-0.4 units) conditions on the basis of IPCC projections (RCP 8.5) for 2100. In contrast to warming and acidification, hypoxic events elicited consistent negative effects relative to control biological performance-survival (-33%), abundance (-65%), development (-51%), metabolism (-33%), growth (-24%) and reproduction (-39%)-across the taxonomic groups (mollusks, crustaceans and fish), ontogenetic stages and climate regions studied. Our findings call for a refocus of global change experimental studies, integrating oxygen concentration drivers as a key factor of ocean change. Given potential combined effects, multistressor designs including gradual and extreme changes are further warranted to fully disclose the future impacts of ocean oxygen loss, warming and acidification.
在过去的几十年中,由于人为排放,海洋生物面临着三大挑战:海洋升温、酸化和氧气减少。虽然大多数实验研究都针对前两个压力因素,但最后一个因素相对被忽视。在这里,我们实施了顺序层次混合模型荟萃分析(721 个对照-处理比较),根据 2100 年 IPCC 预测(RCP8.5),比较了与当前和不断加剧的缺氧事件(1-3.5 毫克/升)相关的氧气条件与海洋升温(+4°C)和酸化(-0.4 个单位)条件对生物表现的影响。与升温和酸化相比,缺氧事件相对于对照生物表现(存活率-33%、丰度-65%、发育-51%、代谢-33%、生长-24%和繁殖-39%)在所有研究的分类群(软体动物、甲壳类动物和鱼类)、个体发育阶段和气候区都产生了一致的负面影响。我们的研究结果呼吁重新关注全球变化实验研究,将氧气浓度驱动因素作为海洋变化的关键因素。鉴于潜在的综合效应,多压力设计包括逐渐和极端的变化是进一步需要的,以充分揭示海洋氧气减少、升温和酸化的未来影响。