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在加拿大安大略省,有近期无家可归史的人群中 COVID-19 的检测、感染和并发症发生率:一项回顾性队列研究。

Testing, infection and complication rates of COVID-19 among people with a recent history of homelessness in Ontario, Canada: a retrospective cohort study.

机构信息

ICES Western (Richard, Shariff); Western University (Booth, Clemens, Forchuk), London, Ont.; Alliance for Healthier Communities (Rayner), Toronto, Ont.

出版信息

CMAJ Open. 2021 Jan 11;9(1):E1-E9. doi: 10.9778/cmajo.20200287. Print 2021 Jan-Mar.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

People with a recent history of homelessness are believed to be at high risk of infection with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) and, when infected, complications of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). We describe and compare testing for SARS-CoV-2, test positivity and hospital admission, receipt of intensive care and mortality rates related to COVID-19 for people with a recent history of homelessness versus community-dwelling people as of July 31, 2020.

METHODS

We conducted a population-based retrospective cohort study in Ontario, Canada, between Jan. 23 and July 31, 2020, using linked health administrative data among people who either had a recent history of homelessness or were dwelling in the community. People were included if they were eligible for provincial health care coverage and not living in an institutionalized facility on Jan. 23, 2020. We examined testing for SARS-CoV-2, test positivity and complication outcomes of COVID-19 (hospital admission, admission to intensive care and death) within 21 days of a positive test result. Extended multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) in 3 time periods: preshutdown (Jan. 23-Mar. 13), peak (Mar. 14-June 16) and reopening (June 17-July 31).

RESULTS

People with a recent history of homelessness ( = 29 407) were more likely to be tested for SARS-CoV-2 in all 3 periods compared with community-dwelling people ( = 14 494 301) (preshutdown adjusted HR 1.61, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.22-2.11; peak adjusted HR 2.95, 95% CI 2.88-3.03; reopening adjusted HR 1.45, 95% CI 1.39-1.51). They were also more likely to have a positive test result (peak adjusted HR 3.66, 95% CI 3.22-4.16; reopening adjusted HR 1.76, 95% CI 1.15-2.71). In the peak period, people with a recent history of homelessness were over 20 times more likely to be admitted to hospital for COVID-19 (adjusted HR 20.35, 95% CI 16.23-25.53), over 10 times more likely to require intensive care for COVID-19 (adjusted HR 10.20, 95% CI 5.81-17.93) and over 5 times more likely to die within 21 days of their first positive test result (adjusted HR 5.73, 95% CI 3.01-10.91).

INTERPRETATION

In Ontario, people with a recent history of homelessness were significantly more likely to be tested for SARS-CoV-2, to have a positive test result, to be admitted to hospital for COVID-19, to receive intensive care for COVID-19 and to die of COVID-19 compared with community-dwelling people. People with a recent history of homelessness should continue to be considered particularly vulnerable to SARS-CoV-2 infection and its complications.

摘要

背景

据信,近期无家可归的人感染严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒 2(SARS-CoV-2)的风险较高,感染后,其患 2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)的并发症的风险也较高。截至 2020 年 7 月 31 日,我们描述并比较了近期无家可归者和居住在社区中的人群的 SARS-CoV-2 检测、检测阳性率和住院率、接受重症监护和与 COVID-19 相关的死亡率。

方法

我们在加拿大安大略省进行了一项基于人群的回顾性队列研究,使用了 2020 年 1 月 23 日至 7 月 31 日期间与健康管理数据相关的人群,其中包括近期无家可归者或居住在社区中的人群。如果他们有资格获得省级医疗保健覆盖且在 2020 年 1 月 23 日不在机构设施中居住,则纳入研究。我们研究了在 SARS-CoV-2 检测阳性后 21 天内 COVID-19 的检测、阳性结果和并发症结果(住院、入住重症监护病房和死亡)。我们使用扩展的多变量 Cox 比例风险模型,分别在三个时间段内估计调整后的风险比(HR):停工前(1 月 23 日至 3 月 13 日)、高峰期(3 月 14 日至 6 月 16 日)和重新开放期(6 月 17 日至 7 月 31 日)。

结果

与居住在社区中的人群( = 14 494 301 人)相比,近期无家可归者( = 29 407 人)在所有三个时间段内都更有可能接受 SARS-CoV-2 检测(停工前调整后的 HR 1.61,95%置信区间[CI]1.22-2.11;高峰期调整后的 HR 2.95,95%CI2.88-3.03;重新开放期调整后的 HR 1.45,95%CI1.39-1.51)。他们也更有可能检测结果呈阳性(高峰期调整后的 HR 3.66,95%CI3.22-4.16;重新开放期调整后的 HR 1.76,95%CI1.15-2.71)。在高峰期,近期无家可归者因 COVID-19 住院的可能性是社区居住者的 20 多倍(调整后的 HR 20.35,95%CI16.23-25.53),因 COVID-19 接受重症监护的可能性是社区居住者的 10 多倍(调整后的 HR 10.20,95%CI5.81-17.93),在首次检测呈阳性后 21 天内死亡的可能性是社区居住者的 5 倍多(调整后的 HR 5.73,95%CI3.01-10.91)。

解释

在安大略省,与居住在社区中的人群相比,近期无家可归者接受 SARS-CoV-2 检测、检测结果呈阳性、因 COVID-19 住院、因 COVID-19 接受重症监护和因 COVID-19 死亡的可能性都显著更高。近期无家可归者应继续被视为特别容易感染 SARS-CoV-2 及其并发症。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ee3a/7843074/d88469dd00e8/cmajo.20200287f1.jpg

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