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评估船舶排放的环境影响——海洋视角。

Valuating environmental impacts from ship emissions - The marine perspective.

机构信息

Department of Mechanics and Maritime Sciences, Chalmers University of Technology, SE 412 96, Gothenburg, Sweden.

IVL Swedish Environmental Research Institute, P.O. Box 53021, 400 14, Göteborg, Sweden.

出版信息

J Environ Manage. 2021 Mar 15;282:111958. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2021.111958. Epub 2021 Jan 15.

Abstract

Shipping is an activity responsible for a range of different pressures affecting the marine environment, air quality and human welfare. The methodology on how ship emissions impact air quality and human health are comparatively well established and used in cost-benefit analysis of policy proposals. However, the knowledge base is not the same for impacts on the marine environment and a coherent environmental and socio-economic impact assessment of shipping has not yet been made. This risk policies to be biased towards air pollution whilst trading off impacts on the marine environment. The aim of the current study was to develop a comprehensive framework on how different pressures from shipping degrade marine ecosystems, air quality and human welfare. A secondary aim was to quantify the societal damage costs of shipping due to the degradation of human welfare in a Baltic Sea case study. By adding knowledge from marine ecotoxicology and life-cycle analysis to the existing knowledge from climate, air pollution and environmental economics we were able to establish a more comprehensive conceptual framework that allows for valuation of environmental impacts from shipping, but it still omits economic values for biological pollution, littering and underwater noise. The results for the Baltic Sea case showed the total annual damage costs of Baltic Sea shipping to be 2.9 billion € (95% CI 2.0-3.9 billion €). The damage costs due to impacts on marine eutrophication (768 million €) and marine ecotoxicity (582 million €) were in the same range as the total damage costs associated with reduced air quality (816 million €) and climate change (737 million €). The framework and the results from the current study can be used in future socio-economic assessments of ship emissions to prioritize cost efficient measures. The framework can be used globally but the damage costs presented on the marine environment are restricted to emissions on the Baltic Sea and Kattegat region as they are based on willingness to pay studies conducted on citizens around the Baltic Sea where eutrophication and emissions of chemicals are particularly threats to the state of the Baltic Sea.

摘要

航运活动对海洋环境、空气质量和人类福利造成了一系列不同的压力。船舶排放对空气质量和人类健康的影响的方法在政策建议的成本效益分析中得到了比较充分的应用。然而,关于对海洋环境的影响的知识库并不相同,也尚未对航运的环境和社会经济影响进行综合评估。这使得政策偏向于空气污染,而牺牲了对海洋环境的影响。本研究的目的是制定一个综合框架,说明航运的各种压力如何破坏海洋生态系统、空气质量和人类福利。次要目标是在波罗的海案例研究中量化由于人类福利恶化而导致的航运对社会造成的损害成本。通过将海洋生态毒理学和生命周期分析的知识添加到现有的气候、空气污染和环境经济学知识中,我们能够建立一个更全面的概念框架,从而可以对航运的环境影响进行估值,但它仍然忽略了生物污染、垃圾和水下噪音的经济价值。波罗的海案例的结果表明,波罗的海航运的年总损害成本为 29 亿欧元(95%置信区间为 20-39 亿欧元)。由于海洋富营养化(7.68 亿欧元)和海洋生态毒性(5.82 亿欧元)造成的损害成本与空气质量下降(8.16 亿欧元)和气候变化(7.37 亿欧元)相关的总损害成本相当。本研究的框架和结果可用于未来对船舶排放的社会经济评估,以确定具有成本效益的措施。该框架可在全球范围内使用,但对海洋环境的损害成本仅限于波罗的海和卡特加特地区的排放,因为这些成本是基于对波罗的海周围公民进行的支付意愿研究得出的,在这些地区,富营养化和化学品排放对波罗的海的状况构成了特别威胁。

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