Keio University Health Center, 4-1-1 Hiyoshi, Kohoku-ku, Yokohama-shi, Kanagawa, 223-8521, Japan.
Department of Internal Medicine, Keio University School of Medicine, 35 Shinanomachi, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, 160-8582, Japan.
Hypertens Res. 2021 Jun;44(6):711-719. doi: 10.1038/s41440-021-00615-3. Epub 2021 Jan 27.
Early intervention to manage high blood pressure (BP) in young adulthood is a promising approach for the prevention of future cardiovascular diseases. We aimed to examine the ability of childhood health information to predict the incidence of young adults with high BP. This cohort study included baseline clinical data of Japanese individuals aged 12-13 years. A total of 1129 participants were followed up for an average of 8.6 years. We examined the association of childhood variables consisting of body weight, body mass index, systolic BP, white blood cell count, red blood cell count, hemoglobin, hematocrit, platelet count, uric acid, total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol with the development of high BP defined as ≥120/80 mmHg at 18-22 years old. At follow-up, the prevalence of high BP was 42.2% in men and 7.7% in women. Young men with high BP had childhood baseline characteristics that included higher body weight, body mass index, systolic BP, red blood cell count, hemoglobin, hematocrit, and uric acid than normotensive men. Young women with high BP had higher body weight, systolic BP, and uric acid at baseline. Multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed that a model including body weight, systolic BP, hematocrit, and uric acid had the highest predictive power (AUC 0.65 [95% CI, 0.62-0.69]) for men, and a model including body weight, systolic BP, and uric acid had the highest predictive power (AUC 0.70 [95% CI, 0.58-0.81]) for women. Comprehensive childhood health information contributes to the prediction of high BP in young adults.
青少年时期的高血压(BP)早期干预是预防未来心血管疾病的一种很有前途的方法。我们旨在研究儿童健康信息预测年轻成年人高血压发病的能力。这项队列研究包括日本 12-13 岁个体的基线临床数据。共有 1129 名参与者平均随访 8.6 年。我们检查了儿童变量与高血压发病的相关性,这些变量包括体重、体重指数、收缩压、白细胞计数、红细胞计数、血红蛋白、血细胞比容、血小板计数、尿酸、总胆固醇、高密度脂蛋白胆固醇和低密度脂蛋白胆固醇,高血压定义为 18-22 岁时≥120/80mmHg。随访时,男性中高血压的患病率为 42.2%,女性为 7.7%。患有高血压的年轻男性在儿童期基线时的特征包括体重、体重指数、收缩压、红细胞计数、血红蛋白、血细胞比容和尿酸较高。患有高血压的年轻女性在基线时体重、收缩压和尿酸较高。多变量逻辑回归分析显示,包括体重、收缩压、血细胞比容和尿酸的模型对男性的预测能力最高(AUC 0.65 [95%CI,0.62-0.69]),而包括体重、收缩压和尿酸的模型对女性的预测能力最高(AUC 0.70 [95%CI,0.58-0.81])。综合儿童健康信息有助于预测年轻成年人的高血压。