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SARS-CoV-2、SARS-CoV 和 MERS-CoV 的病毒载量动态、病毒脱落持续时间和传染性:系统评价和荟萃分析。

SARS-CoV-2, SARS-CoV, and MERS-CoV viral load dynamics, duration of viral shedding, and infectiousness: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

机构信息

Division of Infection and Global Health Research, School of Medicine, University of St Andrews, Fife, UK.

NHS Lothian Infection Service, Regional Infectious Diseases Unit, Western General Hospital, Edinburgh, UK.

出版信息

Lancet Microbe. 2021 Jan;2(1):e13-e22. doi: 10.1016/S2666-5247(20)30172-5. Epub 2020 Nov 19.


DOI:10.1016/S2666-5247(20)30172-5
PMID:33521734
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7837230/
Abstract

BACKGROUND: Viral load kinetics and duration of viral shedding are important determinants for disease transmission. We aimed to characterise viral load dynamics, duration of viral RNA shedding, and viable virus shedding of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) in various body fluids, and to compare SARS-CoV-2, SARS-CoV, and Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) viral dynamics. METHODS: In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we searched databases, including MEDLINE, Embase, Europe PubMed Central, , and , and the grey literature, for research articles published between Jan 1, 2003, and June 6, 2020. We included case series (with five or more participants), cohort studies, and randomised controlled trials that reported SARS-CoV-2, SARS-CoV, or MERS-CoV infection, and reported viral load kinetics, duration of viral shedding, or viable virus. Two authors independently extracted data from published studies, or contacted authors to request data, and assessed study quality and risk of bias using the Joanna Briggs Institute Critical Appraisal Checklist tools. We calculated the mean duration of viral shedding and 95% CIs for every study included and applied the random-effects model to estimate a pooled effect size. We used a weighted meta-regression with an unrestricted maximum likelihood model to assess the effect of potential moderators on the pooled effect size. This study is registered with PROSPERO, CRD42020181914. FINDINGS: 79 studies (5340 individuals) on SARS-CoV-2, eight studies (1858 individuals) on SARS-CoV, and 11 studies (799 individuals) on MERS-CoV were included. Mean duration of SARS-CoV-2 RNA shedding was 17·0 days (95% CI 15·5-18·6; 43 studies, 3229 individuals) in upper respiratory tract, 14·6 days (9·3-20·0; seven studies, 260 individuals) in lower respiratory tract, 17·2 days (14·4-20·1; 13 studies, 586 individuals) in stool, and 16·6 days (3·6-29·7; two studies, 108 individuals) in serum samples. Maximum shedding duration was 83 days in the upper respiratory tract, 59 days in the lower respiratory tract, 126 days in stools, and 60 days in serum. Pooled mean SARS-CoV-2 shedding duration was positively associated with age (slope 0·304 [95% CI 0·115-0·493]; p=0·0016). No study detected live virus beyond day 9 of illness, despite persistently high viral loads, which were inferred from cycle threshold values. SARS-CoV-2 viral load in the upper respiratory tract appeared to peak in the first week of illness, whereas that of SARS-CoV peaked at days 10-14 and that of MERS-CoV peaked at days 7-10. INTERPRETATION: Although SARS-CoV-2 RNA shedding in respiratory and stool samples can be prolonged, duration of viable virus is relatively short-lived. SARS-CoV-2 titres in the upper respiratory tract peak in the first week of illness. Early case finding and isolation, and public education on the spectrum of illness and period of infectiousness are key to the effective containment of SARS-CoV-2. FUNDING: None.

摘要

背景:病毒载量动力学和病毒脱落持续时间是疾病传播的重要决定因素。我们旨在描述严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒 2(SARS-CoV-2)在各种体液中的病毒载量动力学、病毒 RNA 脱落持续时间和活病毒脱落,并比较 SARS-CoV-2、SARS-CoV 和中东呼吸综合征冠状病毒(MERS-CoV)的病毒动力学。

方法:在这项系统评价和荟萃分析中,我们检索了数据库,包括 MEDLINE、Embase、欧洲 PubMed 中心、 和 ,以及灰色文献,以检索 2003 年 1 月 1 日至 2020 年 6 月 6 日期间发表的研究文章。我们纳入了病例系列(有 5 名或以上参与者)、队列研究和随机对照试验,这些研究报告了 SARS-CoV-2、SARS-CoV 或 MERS-CoV 感染,并报告了病毒载量动力学、病毒脱落持续时间或活病毒。两名作者独立从已发表的研究中提取数据,或联系作者请求数据,并使用 Joanna Briggs 研究所的批判性评估清单工具评估研究质量和偏倚风险。我们计算了每个研究的病毒脱落平均持续时间和 95%置信区间,并应用随机效应模型来估计汇总效应大小。我们使用无限制最大似然模型的加权荟萃回归来评估潜在调节因素对汇总效应大小的影响。这项研究在 PROSPERO 注册,CRD42020181914。

发现:纳入了 79 项关于 SARS-CoV-2(5340 人)、8 项关于 SARS-CoV(1858 人)和 11 项关于 MERS-CoV(799 人)的研究。上呼吸道 SARS-CoV-2 RNA 脱落的平均持续时间为 17.0 天(95%CI 15.5-18.6;43 项研究,3229 人),下呼吸道为 14.6 天(9.3-20.0;7 项研究,260 人),粪便为 17.2 天(14.4-20.1;13 项研究,586 人),血清为 16.6 天(3.6-29.7;2 项研究,108 人)。上呼吸道最大脱落持续时间为 83 天,下呼吸道为 59 天,粪便为 126 天,血清为 60 天。SARS-CoV-2 脱落的平均持续时间与年龄呈正相关(斜率 0.304 [95%CI 0.115-0.493];p=0.0016)。尽管病毒载量持续很高,但没有研究检测到发病后第 9 天以上的活病毒,这是从循环阈值推断出来的。上呼吸道 SARS-CoV-2 病毒载量似乎在发病的第一周达到峰值,而 SARS-CoV 的病毒载量在第 10-14 天达到峰值,MERS-CoV 的病毒载量在第 7-10 天达到峰值。

解释:尽管呼吸道和粪便样本中的 SARS-CoV-2 RNA 脱落可能会延长,但活病毒的持续时间相对较短。上呼吸道 SARS-CoV-2 病毒载量在发病的第一周达到峰值。早期发现病例并进行隔离,以及对疾病谱和传染性期进行公众教育,是有效控制 SARS-CoV-2 的关键。

资助:无。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/fc5e/7837230/fc909c7dde60/gr4.jpg
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https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/fc5e/7837230/fc909c7dde60/gr4.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/fc5e/7837230/c5b126758929/gr1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/fc5e/7837230/348fcc95d6cc/gr2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/fc5e/7837230/b347f8dacdbe/gr3.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/fc5e/7837230/fc909c7dde60/gr4.jpg

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