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中国大陆与流感相关的疾病负担:系统评价和荟萃分析。

Influenza-associated disease burden in mainland China: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

机构信息

School of Public Health, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Fudan University, Xuhui District, Shanghai, 200231, China.

Shanghai Key Laboratory of Meteorology and Health, Shanghai, China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2021 Feb 3;11(1):2886. doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-82161-z.

Abstract

Influenza causes substantial morbidity and mortality. Many original studies have been carried out to estimate disease burden of influenza in mainland China, while the full disease burden has not yet been systematically reviewed. We did a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the burden of influenza-associated mortality, hospitalization, and outpatient visit in mainland China. We searched 3 English and 4 Chinese databases with studies published from 2005 to 2019. Studies reporting population-based rates of mortality, hospitalization, or outpatient visit attributed to seasonal influenza were included in the analysis. Fixed-effects or random-effects model was used to calculate pooled estimates of influenza-associated mortality depending on the degree of heterogeneity. Meta-regression was applied to explore the sources of heterogeneity. Publication bias was assessed by funnel plots and Egger's test. We identified 30 studies eligible for inclusion with 17, 8, 5 studies reporting mortality, hospitalization, and outpatient visit associated with influenza, respectively. The pooled influenza-associated all-cause mortality rates were 14.33 and 122.79 per 100,000 persons for all ages and ≥ 65 years age groups, respectively. Studies were highly heterogeneous in aspects of age group, cause of death, statistical model, geographic location, and study period, and these factors could explain 60.14% of the heterogeneity in influenza-associated mortality. No significant publication bias existed in estimates of influenza-associated all-cause mortality. Children aged < 5 years were observed with the highest rates of influenza-associated hospitalizations and ILI outpatient visits. People aged ≥ 65 years and < 5 years contribute mostly to mortality and morbidity burden due to influenza, which calls for targeted vaccination policy for older adults and younger children in mainland China.

摘要

流感可导致严重的发病率和死亡率。许多原始研究已经开展,以评估中国大陆流感的疾病负担,但尚未对其进行全面的系统综述。我们进行了一项系统评价和荟萃分析,以评估中国大陆流感相关死亡、住院和门诊就诊的负担。我们检索了 3 个英文数据库和 4 个中文数据库,检索了 2005 年至 2019 年发表的研究。纳入分析的研究报告了基于人群的死亡率、住院率或门诊就诊率归因于季节性流感。根据异质性程度,采用固定效应或随机效应模型计算流感相关死亡率的汇总估计值。采用Meta回归分析来探讨异质性的来源。采用漏斗图和 Egger 检验评估发表偏倚。我们确定了 30 项符合纳入标准的研究,其中分别有 17、8、5 项研究报告了与流感相关的死亡率、住院率和门诊就诊率。全人群和年龄≥65 岁人群的流感相关全因死亡率的汇总率分别为每 10 万人 14.33 例和 122.79 例。在年龄组、死因、统计模型、地理位置和研究期间等方面,研究结果存在高度异质性,这些因素可以解释流感相关死亡率异质性的 60.14%。在流感相关全因死亡率的估计中,没有显著的发表偏倚。年龄<5 岁的儿童观察到与流感相关的住院和 ILI 门诊就诊率最高。年龄≥65 岁和<5 岁的人群因流感导致的死亡和发病负担最大,这需要在中国大陆针对老年人和幼儿制定有针对性的疫苗接种政策。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0d35/7859194/a61324204260/41598_2021_82161_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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