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衰弱与老年人群肾功能下降的风险:如皋长寿与衰老研究。

Frailty and the risk of kidney function decline in the elderly population: the Rugao Longevity and Ageing Study.

机构信息

Department of Nephrology, Huashan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.

National Clinical Research Center for Aging and Medicine, Huashan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.

出版信息

Nephrol Dial Transplant. 2021 Dec 2;36(12):2274-2281. doi: 10.1093/ndt/gfaa323.

DOI:10.1093/ndt/gfaa323
PMID:33537782
Abstract

BACKGROUND

The diverse risk factors for kidney impairments suggest that kidney function decline is more likely to occur in individuals with a broadly constituted health deficit. Here we conducted a longitudinal cohort study to evaluate the association of baseline frailty status with the risk of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decline.

METHODS

Overall, 1269 participants aged 70-84 years from Rugao Longevity and Ageing cohort with 3-year follow-up were included. Frailty was measured using a modified Fried frailty assessment. GFR was estimated using the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration equation. Associations between baseline frailty status and rapid eGFR decline were examined by multinomial logistic analysis. A linear mixed-effect model was used to determine eGFR decline in mL/min/1.73 m2 over the study period comparing those with frail or prefrail at baseline versus those with robust status.

RESULTS

The mean (± standard deviation) age of participants was 75.1 ± 3.8 years. A total of 144 (11%) participants had rapid eGFR decline by at least 10% during the 3-year follow-up. Compared with robust status, baseline frail status was associated with a 2.48-fold [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.24-4.95] increased risk of rapid eGFR decline after multiple adjustments. In multivariate linear mixed model analysis, subjects with frail status but not prefrail status at baseline had a significant coefficient of -1.70 (95% CI -3.35 to -0.04) for the frail × visit term, which indicates an accelerated eGFR decline compared with robust subjects over the study period (P = 0.044).

CONCLUSIONS

Frailty may serve as an independent biomarker to predict the decline of kidney function.

摘要

背景

导致肾脏损伤的风险因素多种多样,这表明肾脏功能下降更有可能发生在健康状况普遍较差的个体中。在这里,我们进行了一项纵向队列研究,以评估基线虚弱状态与估算肾小球滤过率(eGFR)下降风险之间的关系。

方法

共有 1269 名年龄在 70-84 岁的 Rugao 长寿与衰老队列参与者参加了这项研究,随访时间为 3 年。使用改良的 Fried 虚弱评估方法来评估虚弱状态。使用慢性肾脏病流行病学合作方程估算肾小球滤过率。通过多项逻辑回归分析来评估基线虚弱状态与 eGFR 快速下降之间的关系。使用线性混合效应模型来确定研究期间 mL/min/1.73 m2 的 eGFR 下降,比较基线时虚弱或衰弱前期与稳定状态的参与者。

结果

参与者的平均(±标准差)年龄为 75.1 ± 3.8 岁。在 3 年的随访期间,共有 144 名(11%)参与者的 eGFR 快速下降至少 10%。与稳定状态相比,基线时的虚弱状态与快速 eGFR 下降的风险增加 2.48 倍(95%置信区间 [CI] 1.24-4.95),经多次调整后仍有统计学意义。在多变量线性混合模型分析中,基线时虚弱但非衰弱前期的受试者在虚弱×访视项的系数为-1.70(95%CI-3.35 至-0.04),这表明与稳定状态的受试者相比,在研究期间 eGFR 下降速度更快(P=0.044)。

结论

虚弱状态可能是预测肾功能下降的独立生物标志物。

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